Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 14

Date: 8 November 2024, Friday


	Goytre United		Trefelin

	1	X	2
	2.19	3.9	2.6
	2.17	4.01	2.52
	2.24	4.21	2.63	Watch
	2.16	3.94	2.54
	2.19	3.9	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.91)	3.99 ↑ (3.84)	2.58 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goytre United
41.7%

Draw
22.9%

Trefelin
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

23.7%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

24.1%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goytre United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Goytre United's performance.

Trefelin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trefelin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goytre United than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Goytre United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trefelin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Goytre United - Trefelin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Piper R. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Watts K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', Horgan-Evans D. 🟨,
83', 1 - 2, Trundle L. ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 3, Trundle L. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goytre United
Welsh Cymru South
01.11.24	Taffs Well AFC - Goytre United	4:4 ✺
26.10.24	Goytre United - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:2 ✺
11.10.24	Ammanford - Goytre United	3:1 ✺
05.10.24	Llantwit Major - Goytre United	1:1 ✺
27.09.24	Goytre United - Caerau Ely	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLLTL
- Trefelin BGC
Welsh Cymru South
02.11.24	Trefelin - Cambrian United	5:2 ✺
25.10.24	Afan Lido - Trefelin	0:0 ✺
12.10.24	Trefelin - Carmarthen Town	2:1 ✺
04.10.24	Taffs Well AFC - Trefelin	3:3 ✺
27.09.24	Trefelin - Llanelli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
29.03.24	Trefelin - Goytre United	2:2
Welsh FA Cup
16.09.23	Goytre United - Trefelin	1:3
Welsh Cymru South
11.08.23	Goytre United - Trefelin	0:3
07.04.23	Trefelin - Goytre United	2:2
13.01.23	Goytre United - Trefelin	3:2
Welsh League Cup
23.07.22	Goytre United - Trefelin	1:6
Welsh Cymru South
18.04.22	Trefelin - Goytre United	1:1

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