Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Grêmio		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.4	4.2	7.75
	1.41	4.4	6
	1.41	4.1	7.4
	1.43	4.64	7.94
	1.53	3.6	6.5
	1.4	4.35	8.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.61)	4.22 ↑ (3.7)	7.38 ↑ (5.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio
65.2%

Draw
22.1%

CRB Maceio
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

25.1%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

24.4%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grêmio's performance.

CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grêmio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CRB Maceio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	0%	6.2%

Grêmio - CRB Maceio Predictions

Users Predictions: Grêmio will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Grêmio is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches CRB is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

CRB could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Grêmio is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Grêmio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie B
27.04.22	Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio	0:1 ✺
21.04.22	Grêmio - Guarani	3:1 ✺
15.04.22	Grêmio - Chapecoense	0:1 ✺
09.04.22	Ponte Preta - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
02.04.22	Grêmio - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLTW
- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
27.04.22	CRB Maceio - Náutico Capibaribe	1:2 ✺
23.04.22	Ponte Preta - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
16.04.22	CRB Maceio - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
13.04.22	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - CRB Maceio	0:2 ✺
09.04.22	CRB Maceio - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
19.05.15	Grêmio - CRB Maceio	Canceled
13.05.15	CRB Maceio - Grêmio	1:3

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