Match Info

Date: 21 April 2022, Thursday


	Grêmio		Guarani

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.7	6
	1.47	3.8	6.4
	1.48	3.8	6.6
	1.51	4.09	7.7
	1.5	3.6	7.5
	1.51	3.88	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.68)	3.81 ↑ (3.3)	6.9 ↑ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio
62%

Draw
24.5%

Guarani
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

28%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

27.9%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grêmio's performance.

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grêmio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Grêmio - Guarani Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Grêmio is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guarani is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Grêmio is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie B
15.04.22	Grêmio - Chapecoense	0:1 ✺
09.04.22	Ponte Preta - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
02.04.22	Grêmio - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
26.03.22	Ypiranga - Grêmio	0:1 ✺
23.03.22	Grêmio - Internacional RS	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTWWL
- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie B
16.04.22	Guarani - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
08.04.22	Brusque - Guarani	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
24.03.22	Corinthians - Guarani	2:1 penalties ✺
19.03.22	São Bernardo - Guarani	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
15.03.22	Guarani - Vila Nova	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLTL

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