Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA A2 - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi (Sao Paulo)


	Grêmio Novorizontino		EC Noroeste

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.5	5
	1.6	3.45	5.1	Watch
	1.64	3.5	5.19
	1.62	3.68	5.4	Watch
	1.62	3.4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.75)	3.51 ↑ (3.29)	5.18 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Novorizontino
56.3%

Draw
26.1%

EC Noroeste
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

27.7%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

26.6%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

EC Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Noroeste than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Grêmio Novorizontino - EC Noroeste Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Novorizontino in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Noroeste is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Novorizontino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Novorizontino is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Novorizontino to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Novorizontino won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Novorizontino won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
26.03.23	EC Noroeste - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
22.03.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Osasco Sporting	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	Osasco Sporting - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
11.03.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - CA Juventus	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	Taubaté - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWWWW
- EC Noroeste
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
26.03.23	EC Noroeste - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
21.03.23	EC Noroeste - Velo Clube	0:0 ✺
17.03.23	Velo Clube - EC Noroeste	0:1 ✺
11.03.23	Ponte Preta - EC Noroeste	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	EC Noroeste - Rio Claro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
26.03.23	EC Noroeste - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1
25.02.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - EC Noroeste	2:2

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