Match Info

Date: 16 September 2022, Friday

Location: Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Abatti Abel R. (Bra)


	Grêmio Novorizontino		Grêmio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	2.8	2.28
	3.35	2.8	2.29
	3.67	2.87	2.43
	3.4	2.88	2.3
	3.32	2.99	2.3	Watch
	3.35	2.85	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↓ (3.5)	2.87 ↓ (2.9)	2.32 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Novorizontino
27.4%

Draw
32.5%

Grêmio
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

31.8%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

30.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.1%	46.9%	25%

Grêmio Novorizontino - Grêmio Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 9 - 28.1%). Grêmio will win (votes: 8 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 46.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 64.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Novorizontino is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Grêmio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Grêmio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Grêmio have a series of home games.

Grêmio will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Novorizontino: Giovanni (Injury)

There will not play in Grêmio: Janderson (Injury) Jhonata Robert (Injury) Kannemann W. (Injury) Nicolas Vichiatto (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Novorizontino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
07.09.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1 ✺
03.09.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
30.08.22	Sport Recife - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
25.08.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
19.08.22	Ituano - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTL
- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie B
11.09.22	Grêmio - Vasco da Gama	2:1 ✺
02.09.22	Grêmio - Vila Nova	2:1 ✺
30.08.22	Criciúma - Grêmio	2:0 ✺
26.08.22	Grêmio - Ituano	0:1 ✺
21.08.22	Grêmio - Cruzeiro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
07.06.22	Grêmio - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:0

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