Match Info

Date: 2 September 2022, Friday

Location: Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre)

Referee: Pereira Sampiao S. (Bra)


	Grêmio		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	3.6	7.5
	1.44	3.65	7.5
	1.48	3.55	7.6
	1.48	3.92	9.2
	1.47	3.5	8.5
	1.47	3.74	8.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.44)	3.66 ↓ (3.77)	8.08 ↓ (8.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio
63.1%

Draw
25.4%

Vila Nova
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

24.8%

10.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

24.1%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	20%	5%

Grêmio - Vila Nova Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 30 - 75%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 2 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 61.6% – 88.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage)).

Grêmio is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vila Nova is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vila Nova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Grêmio is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Grêmio: Gabriel Teixeira (Injury) Kannemann W. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie B
30.08.22	Criciúma - Grêmio	2:0 ✺
26.08.22	Grêmio - Ituano	0:1 ✺
21.08.22	Grêmio - Cruzeiro	2:2 ✺
13.08.22	CRB Maceio - Grêmio	2:0 ✺
09.08.22	Grêmio - Operário Ferroviario	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLW
- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
29.08.22	Chapecoense - Vila Nova	1:2 ✺
25.08.22	Vila Nova - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
19.08.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Vila Nova	1:2 ✺
12.08.22	Vila Nova - Londrina	0:0 ✺
09.08.22	Tombense - Vila Nova	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
29.05.22	Vila Nova - Grêmio	0:0

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