Match Info

Date: 26 August 2022, Friday

Location: Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre)

Referee: de Freitas Castro A. L. (Bra)


	Grêmio		Ituano

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	7.5
	1.41	3.95	7.5
	1.39	4.2	7.4
	1.4	4.68	9.16
	1.4	4	8.5
	1.39	4.4	8.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)	4.24 ↑ (3.75)	8.03 ↑ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio
66.5%

Draw
21.9%

Ituano
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

24.6%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

23.8%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.5%	21.7%	21.7%

Grêmio - Ituano Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Ituano will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grêmio: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 10).

Recent matches Grêmio is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ituano is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Grêmio is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Grêmio: Kannemann W. (Injury)

There will not play in Ituano: Neto Berola (Injury) Pacheco (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie B
21.08.22	Grêmio - Cruzeiro	2:2 ✺
13.08.22	CRB Maceio - Grêmio	2:0 ✺
09.08.22	Grêmio - Operário Ferroviario	5:1 ✺
05.08.22	Guarani - Grêmio	1:2 ✺
26.07.22	Chapecoense - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLWWT
- Ituano
Brazilian Serie B
19.08.22	Ituano - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
12.08.22	Bahia - Ituano	2:0 ✺
09.08.22	Ituano - Sport Recife	4:1 ✺
05.08.22	Vila Nova - Ituano	1:1 ✺
30.07.22	CS Alagoano - Ituano	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
16.05.22	Ituano - Grêmio	1:1

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