Match Info

SCOTLAND: Championship - Round 29

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: ZLX Stadium (Hamilton)

Referee: Snedden I. (Sco)


	Hamilton Academical		Greenock Morton

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3	Watch
	2.15	3.2	2.95
	2.21	3.3	3.15	Watch
	2.29	3.3	3.22
	2.25	3.22	3.22	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.25
	2.22	3.18	3.16	Watch
	2.21	3.3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.21)	3.25 ↓ (3.37)	3.14 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamilton Academical
41.9%

Draw
28.6%

Greenock Morton
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

27.6%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

26.6%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamilton Academical has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Hamilton Academical - Greenock Morton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Lyness D. (G) 22. Tumilty R. 14. Maguire B. 5. McGinty S. 3. Longridge J. 16. MacDonald K. 13. Smith C. 11. Bradley S. 17. Robinson S. 25. Telfer Ch. 9. O'Hara K.	1. Mullen R. (G) 2. Ballantyne C. 5. Baird J. 6. Boyes M. 3. Delaney Z. 21. Gillespie G. 14. Crawford A. 8. Blues C. 17. Lyall A. 7. Moffat O. 22. Shaw N.
Substitutes
1. Albinson C. (G) 10. Barjonas J. 7. Henderson E. 6. McGowan D. 24. McKinstry S. 19. Shaw O. 18. Todorov N.	10. Davies J. 18. Garrity M. 29. Keay C. 20. McGinn N. 33. Woods G. (G)
Coaches
Rankin J.	Imrie D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', MacDonald K. ↓, McKinstry S. ↑,
55', Gillespie G. 🟨,
62', Shaw N. ↓, Garrity M. ↑,
62', Gillespie G. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
73', Bradley S. ↓, Shaw O. ↑,
73', O'Hara K. ↓, Henderson E. ↑,
73', Moffat O. ↓, Keay C. ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Keay C. ⚽,
90+1', Telfer Ch. ↓, Todorov N. ↑,
90+4', Lyall A. ↓, McGinn N. ↑,
90+6', 0 - 2, Crawford A. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamilton won 1.

Hamilton is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Greenock is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hamilton will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Hamilton won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 30:22 (average 1.5:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Hamilton won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20:8 (average 2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamilton Academical
Scottish Football Championship
08.03.25	Airdrieonians - Hamilton Academical	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Hamilton Academical - Falkirk	2:2 ✺
25.02.25	Hamilton Academical - Dunfermline Athletic	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Raith Rovers - Hamilton Academical	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Greenock Morton - Hamilton Academical	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTWLL
- Greenock Morton
Scottish Football Championship
08.03.25	Greenock Morton - Ayr United	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Dunfermline Athletic - Greenock Morton	2:1 ✺
25.02.25	Livingston - Greenock Morton	3:2 ✺
21.02.25	Greenock Morton - Falkirk	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Greenock Morton - Hamilton Academical	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
18.02.25	Greenock Morton - Hamilton Academical	2:0
26.10.24	Hamilton Academical - Greenock Morton	3:0
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.10.24	Hamilton Academical - Greenock Morton	0:1
Scottish Football Championship
10.08.24	Greenock Morton - Hamilton Academical	0:0
11.04.23	Greenock Morton - Hamilton Academical	2:0
14.01.23	Hamilton Academical - Greenock Morton	1:0
08.10.22	Greenock Morton - Hamilton Academical	5:0

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