The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Greenock Morton 14%
Draw 22.1%
Dunfermline Athletic 63.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.7%
25.6%
53.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.3%
25.1%
54.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Greenock Morton's form might have worsened.
Dunfermline Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dunfermline Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Greenock Morton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dunfermline Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
1. Harrison E. (G) 2. Ballantyne C. 4. Cupps C. 5. Croker P. 6. Okike C. 21. Gillespie G. (C) 27. Wilson I. 29. O'Halloran M. 19. Robertson K. 14. Robinson Z. 10. Brophy E.
1. Oxborough A. (G) 24. Lobban D. 15. Cleall-Harding S. 6. Abdulai N. 47. Fraser R. (C) 19. Oyirwoth A. 14. Amade A. 33. Cooper J. 16. MacLeod R. 99. Adams O. 26. Tod A.
Substitutes
17. Bashir S. 12. Borso D. 25. Carse M. 52. Fairnie L. 7. Garrity M. 40. Greenock A. 31. Kinnear B. (G) 20. Sandilands C. 8. Savoury G.
22. Bray K. 18. Corbally K. 12. Dibaga M. (G) 25. Donnelly A. 8. Gilmour C. 20. Kane Ch. 5. Robinson L. 9. Rudden Z. 10. Shaw O.
Coaches
Murray I.
Lennon N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Robinson Z. ↓, Sandilands C. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Lobban D. ⚽, Fraser R. (A),
64', O'Halloran M. ↓, Garrity M. ↑,
64', Robertson K. ↓, Savoury G. ↑,
70', MacLeod R. ↓, Shaw O. ↑,
70', Fraser R. ↓, Robinson L. ↑,
75', Wilson I. ↓, Borso D. ↑,
75', Brophy E. ↓, Bashir S. ↑,
77', Amade A. ↓, Rudden Z. ↑,
78', Cooper J. ↓, Bray K. ↑,
83', Tod A. ↓, Kane Ch. ↑,
90+1', Okike C. 🟨,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 10th in the Relegation ~ League One and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 2.
Greenock is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Dunfermline has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Dunfermline may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Dunfermline for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Greenock has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:18 (averaging 1.5:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Greenock against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 15:5 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).
Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now
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Harrison E. (G) 
Ballantyne C. 
Cupps C. 
Okike C. 
Abdulai N. 
Oyirwoth A. 
Amade A. 
Corbally K. 
Dibaga M. (G) 
Donnelly A. 
