Match Info

SCOTLAND: Championship - Round 22

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Stark's Park (Kirkcaldy)


	Raith Rovers		Falkirk

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.75	Watch
	4	3.3	1.73
	4.33	3.5	1.8
	4.55	3.58	1.8
	4.42	3.51	1.8	Watch
	4.4	3.4	1.83
	4.32	3.5	1.77	Watch
	4.33	3.5	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↓ (4.91)	3.47 ↓ (3.75)	1.79 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raith Rovers
21.6%

Draw
26.6%

Falkirk
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

24.7%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

26.1%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raith Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Falkirk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Falkirk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Raith Rovers - Falkirk Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Raith will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Falkirk will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dabrowski M. (G) 6. Murray E. 4. Hanlon P. 3. Dick L. 22. Doherty J. 20. Brown S. (C) 8. Matthews R. 19. Pollock F. 26. Stevenson L. 23. Easton D. 37. Marsh A.	1. Hogarth N. (G) 4. Lang T. 5. Henderson L. 6. Donaldson C. 20. Adams K. 21. Tait D. 8. Spencer B. 29. Miller C. 23. Ross E. 11. Agyeman A. 9. MacIver R.
Substitutes
7. Connolly A. 5. Fordyce C. 17. Gibson L. 29. Gitau G. 32. Gullan J. 13. McNeil A. (G) 25. Montagu K. 14. Mullin J. 30. Nicholson J.	26. Mackie S. 3. McCann L. 14. McKenna M. 31. Munro R. (G) 10. Nesbitt A. 24. O'Connor D. 18. Oliver G. 16. Stewart B. 2. Yeats F.
Coaches
Robson B.	McGlynn J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Henderson L. ⚽, Spencer B. (A),
28', Spencer B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 2, MacIver R. ⚽,
62', Marsh A. ↓, Gullan J. ↑,
69', Agyeman A. ↓, Nesbitt A. ↑,
69', Ross E. ↓, Stewart B. ↑,
70', Murray E. ↓, Connolly A. ↑,
82', MacIver R. ↓, Oliver G. ↑,
84', Brown S. 🟨,
85', Pollock F. ↓, Mullin J. ↑,
88', Tait D. ↓, Yeats F. ↑,
90+4', Oliver G. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Raith won 3.

Raith is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Falkirk is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Raith could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Falkirk is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Raith won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:28 (average 1.2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Raith won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raith Rovers
Scottish Cup
19.01.25	Falkirk - Raith Rovers	1:2 ET ✺
Scottish Football Championship
04.01.25	Ayr United - Raith Rovers	3:0 ✺
28.12.24	Raith Rovers - Livingston	2:1 ✺
20.12.24	Queens Park - Raith Rovers	1:2 ✺
14.12.24	Raith Rovers - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 WLWWW
- Falkirk FC
Scottish Cup
19.01.25	Falkirk - Raith Rovers	1:2 ET ✺
Scottish Football Championship
11.01.25	Falkirk - Queens Park	0:0 ✺
27.12.24	Dunfermline Athletic - Falkirk	3:3 ✺
21.12.24	Falkirk - Hamilton Academical	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	Ayr United - Falkirk	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Cup
19.01.25	Falkirk - Raith Rovers	1:2 ET
Scottish Football Championship
07.12.24	Falkirk - Raith Rovers	3:0
28.09.24	Raith Rovers - Falkirk	1:0
Scottish Cup
27.11.21	Falkirk - Raith Rovers	1:2
Scottish League One
03.03.20	Raith Rovers - Falkirk	1:1
14.12.19	Falkirk - Raith Rovers	1:1
05.10.19	Raith Rovers - Falkirk	2:2

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