The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Falkirk 48.8%
Draw 26.4%
Livingston 24.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.4%
25.5%
23.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.1%
25.2%
22.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Falkirk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Livingston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (-2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Falkirk - Livingston Predictions
Users Predictions:
Falkirk will win
(12 of 12 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Falkirk will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
19. Bain S. (G) 2. Adams K. 20. Allan C. 5. Henderson L. 28. Lissah F. 8. Spencer B. (C) 21. Tait D. 22. Wilson K. 24. Williams E. 29. Miller C. 7. Graham B.
28. Prior J. (G) 30. Brenet J. 19. Finlayson D. 27. Wilson D. (C) 26. Montano C. 7. Susoho M. 24. Sylla M. 15. Smith L. 39. Yengi T. 17. May S. 18. Bokila J.
Substitutes
11. Agyeman A. 37. Arfield S. 17. Cartwright H. 3. Edwards R. 42. Hart S. 1. Hogarth N. (G) 18. Oliver G. 23. Ross E. 47. Samuel-Ogunsuyi T.
10. Carey G. 36. Culbert S. 14. Hamilton J. (G) 40. Lawal S. 9. Muirhead R. 20. Robinson J. 22. Shinnie A. 25. Tait M. 16. Winter A.
Coaches
McGlynn J.
Martindale D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Graham B. (Pen),
18', Williams E. 🟨,
23', May S. ↓, Shinnie A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Allan C. 🟨,
61', Bokila J. 🟨,
62', Graham B. ↓, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ↑,
62', Tait D. ↓, Cartwright H. ↑,
68', Bokila J. ↓, Muirhead R. ↑,
68', Smith L. ↓, Winter A. ↑,
69', Muirhead R. 🟨,
73', Miller C. ↓, Ross E. ↑,
75', Sylla M. ↓, Carey G. ↑,
75', Brenet J. ↓, Lawal S. ↑,
76', Wilson K. ↓, Agyeman A. ↑,
77', Williams E. ↓, Arfield S. ↑,
89', Lissah F. 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, Wilson D. ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 0.
Falkirk is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Livingston has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Livingston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Falkirk is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Falkirk: Donaldson C.
(Groin Injury)
Lang T.
(Foot Injury)
McCann L.
(Knock)
Neilson L.
(Ankle Injury)
Nesbitt A.
(Foot Injury)
Sneddon J.
(Hernia)
There will not play in Livingston: Blaney S.
(Calf Injury)
Denholm A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Kerr C.
(Muscle Injury)
McGowan R.
(Calf Injury)
McLennan C.
(Concussion)
Montgomery A.
(Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Falkirk: MacIver R.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Livingston: Pittman S.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 0.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Falkirk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Falkirk - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51.41%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.