Match Info

Date: 1 April 2022, Friday


	Greenock Morton		Kilmarnock

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.1	1.85	Watch
	4.4	3.1	1.83
	4.35	3.2	1.83	Watch
	4.6	3.15	1.79
	4.89	3.39	1.83
	4.5	3	1.83	Watch
	4.65	3.3	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↑ (3.62)	3.18 ↑ (3.1)	1.83 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greenock Morton
20.2%

Draw
29.2%

Kilmarnock
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

29.4%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

31.3%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Kilmarnock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kilmarnock's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Greenock Morton - Kilmarnock Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Greenock is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kilmarnock is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Kilmarnock have a series of home games.

Kilmarnock will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Greenock won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Greenock won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greenock Morton
Scottish Football Championship
26.03.22	Greenock Morton - Ayr United	1:1 ✺
18.03.22	Dunfermline Athletic - Greenock Morton	1:1 ✺
12.03.22	Greenock Morton - Partick Thistle	2:1 ✺
05.03.22	Queen of the South - Greenock Morton	3:0 ✺
26.02.22	Greenock Morton - Arbroath	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTWLT
- Kilmarnock FC
Scottish Football Championship
26.03.22	Kilmarnock - Partick Thistle	2:1 ✺
19.03.22	Kilmarnock - Queen of the South	2:1 ✺
11.03.22	Ayr United - Kilmarnock	1:3 ✺
05.03.22	Kilmarnock - Hamilton Academical	2:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
02.03.22	Kilmarnock - Raith Rovers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
29.12.21	Kilmarnock - Greenock Morton	1:1
13.11.21	Greenock Morton - Kilmarnock	0:2
11.09.21	Kilmarnock - Greenock Morton	1:0
Scottish League Cup
20.07.21	Kilmarnock - Greenock Morton	2:1 penalties
23.07.16	Kilmarnock - Greenock Morton	0:2
Club Friendly
16.07.12	Greenock Morton - Kilmarnock	N/A

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