Match Info

Championship - Round 6

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Cappielow Park (Greenock)

Referee: Stirling C. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Connect
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Scotland	BBC Scotland
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, Livingston TV
Usa	Paramount+, SportsEngine Play


	Greenock Morton		Livingston

	1	X	2
	5.50	3.90	1.48
	5.25	3.90	1.49
	5.50	3.95	1.49	Watch
	6.04	4.49	1.52
	5.07	4.32	1.58	Watch
	5.60	4.40	1.50
	5.70	4.10	1.47	Watch
	5.60	4.20	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.53 ↑ (5.1)	4.16 ↓ (4.51)	1.51 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greenock Morton
16.6%

Draw
22.2%

Livingston
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

20.7%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

19.4%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Livingston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (-4%)

Greenock Morton - Livingston Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Livingston (1.57) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Harrison E. (G) 2. Ballantyne C. 4. Cupps C. 5. Croker P. 6. Okike C. 21. Gillespie G. (C) 47. Cochrane H. 29. O'Halloran M. 20. Sandilands C. 7. Garrity M. 10. Brophy E.	28. Prior J. (G) 22. Doherty J. 23. Kabongolo B. 5. McGowan R. (C) 4. Wilkie J. 7. Sinclair T. 20. Danso E. 39. Polworth L. 9. Muirhead R. 25. Anderson B. 19. van Hoeven B.
Substitutes
17. Bashir S. 12. Borso D. 25. Carse M. 52. Fairnie L. 9. Gorman J. 31. Kinnear B. (G) 3. Longridge J. 19. Robertson K. 8. Savoury G.	27. Carey G. 14. Hamilton J. (G) 2. Kerr C. 15. MacPherson C. 17. May S. 26. Montano C. 16. Palmer C. 8. Pittman S. 12. Robertson M.
Coaches
Murray I.	Martindale D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
25', Muirhead R. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Polworth L. ⚽,
43', Gillespie G. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Muirhead R. ⚽, Sinclair T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 1 - 2, O'Halloran M. ⚽, Gillespie G. (A),
61', Garrity M. ↓, Gorman J. ↑,
63', van Hoeven B. ↓, May S. ↑,
70', Sandilands C. ↓, Borso D. ↑,
70', O'Halloran M. ↓, Bashir S. ↑,
72', Polworth L. ↓, MacPherson C. ↑,
72', Anderson B. ↓, Pittman S. ↑,
77', 1 - 3, Danso E. ⚽,
79', Brophy E. ↓, Robertson K. ↑,
81', Sinclair T. ↓, Carey G. ↑,
88', 1 - 4, Doherty J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 0.

Greenock has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Livingston's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Livingston is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Greenock won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Livingston: 22.81% Morton: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Livingston	9	4	1	4	13:9	4	13
10	Morton	9	0	1	8	5:17	-12	1

Last Results with these Odds

Greenock Morton - the odds 5.1 are the expected chance of winning is 18.3%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greenock Morton
Scottish Football Championship
05.09.26	Queens Park - Greenock Morton	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ayr United - Greenock Morton	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Greenock Morton - Arbroath	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Stenhousemuir - Greenock Morton	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Greenock Morton - Partick Thistle	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLLL
- Livingston FC
Scottish Football Championship
04.09.26	Livingston - Stenhousemuir	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Arbroath - Livingston	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Livingston - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Partick Thistle - Livingston	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Livingston - Queens Park	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
12.04.25	Greenock Morton - Livingston	1:2
25.02.25	Livingston - Greenock Morton	3:2
07.12.24	Greenock Morton - Livingston	0:0
Scottish Challenge Cup
12.11.24	Livingston - Greenock Morton	2:1
Scottish Football Championship
24.08.24	Livingston - Greenock Morton	1:1
Club Friendly
02.07.22	Livingston - Greenock Morton	0:3
Scottish Football Championship
07.04.18	Livingston - Greenock Morton	3:2

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