Match Info

Championship - Round 24

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Cappielow Park (Greenock)

Referee: Irvine G. (Sco)


	Greenock Morton		Ross County

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.1	2.45	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.5
	2.62	3.2	2.58
	2.8	3.25	2.63
	2.71	3.19	2.62	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.5
	2.6	3.1	2.48	Watch
	2.71	3.1	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.57)	3.16 ↑ (3.08)	2.54 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greenock Morton
34.7%

Draw
29.1%

Ross County
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

29.7%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

28.6%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Ross County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ross County than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Greenock Morton - Ross County Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Storer J. (G) 2. Ballantyne C. 27. Wilson I. 23. Longridge J. 3. Delaney Z. 8. Blues C. 21. Gillespie G. (C) 7. Moffat O. 29. O'Halloran M. 18. Garrity M. 10. Brophy E.	30. Carson T. (G) 15. Smith D. 5. Pitan L. 16. Iacovitti A. 6. Randall C. (C) 23. Docherty R. 38. Lindsay J. 3. O'Sullivan L. 7. Henderson J. 27. Duncan R. 26. White J.
Substitutes
35. Black D. 11. Crawford A. 17. MacPherson C. 41. Murdoch S. (G) 25. Owens F. 19. Robertson K. 22. Shaw N.	. Brown C. 14. Clark N. 21. Foster B. (G) 31. Gallagher D. . Mackie S. 18. MacLeod A. 11. Phillips K. 44. Scott J. 29. Thomson M.
Coaches
Murray I.	Kettlewell S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Brophy E. ⚽,
19', Longridge J. ↓, Owens F. ↑,
36', Docherty R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pitan L. ↓, Phillips K. ↑,
46', Duncan R. ↓, Scott J. ↑,
64', Randall C. 🟨,
66', Henderson J. ↓, Thomson M. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, O'Halloran M. ⚽, Delaney Z. (A),
73', O'Sullivan L. ↓, Mackie S. ↑,
77', Wilson I. 🟨,
80', Mackie S. 🟨,
83', Moffat O. ↓, MacPherson C. ↑,
87', Lindsay J. ↓, Clark N. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Iacovitti A. ⚽, White J. (A),
90+1', Brophy E. ↓, Shaw N. ↑,
90+4', Gillespie G. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 2.

Greenock has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Ross County has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Greenock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Greenock has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Greenock won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Greenock won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Morton: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Morton	10	1	1	8	7:18	-11	4

Last Results with these Odds

Greenock Morton - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.73%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greenock Morton
Scottish Football Championship
23.01.26	Arbroath - Greenock Morton	1:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Stenhousemuir - Greenock Morton	4:0 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
03.01.26	Partick Thistle - Greenock Morton	3:2 ✺
27.12.25	Greenock Morton - Ayr United	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	St. Johnstone - Greenock Morton	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLTL
- Ross County
Scottish Football Championship
24.01.26	Airdrieonians - Ross County	0:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Motherwell - Ross County	1:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.01.26	St. Johnstone - Ross County	2:0 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
09.01.26	Ross County - Partick Thistle	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Ross County - St. Johnstone	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
15.11.25	Ross County - Greenock Morton	0:3
27.09.25	Greenock Morton - Ross County	1:1
Scottish League Cup
22.07.23	Ross County - Greenock Morton	2:1
Scottish Football Championship
09.03.19	Ross County - Greenock Morton	2:0
04.01.19	Greenock Morton - Ross County	1:0
27.10.18	Ross County - Greenock Morton	5:0
25.08.18	Greenock Morton - Ross County	2:1

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