The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Valenciennes 36%
Draw 29.8%
Amiens 34.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.2%
29.9%
35.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.4%
30.1%
35.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valenciennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Valenciennes - Amiens Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Louchet J. (G) 2. Abu D. 22. Goprou D. 6. Zogba M. 13. Rocchia C. 26. Boiteau L. 8. Rouai M. (C) 10. Diomande D. 21. Marcel V. 11. Ekra R. 27. Amir Z.
1. Delins V. (G) 19. Nuss A. 25. Genton E. 4. Mbala K. 3. Julloux A. 20. Llort L. 15. Colin M. 10. Sopromadze Z. 22. Boissier R. (C) 8. Suljic C. 26. Mbondi C.
Substitutes
25. Belloumou S. 18. Courtet G. 40. Lacombe J. (G) 9. Ndiaye J. 5. Passi B. 15. Tounkara I. 28. Wahib A.
2. Chabane A. 32. Diakite L. 6. Foll G. 28. Julien E. 16. Obin C. (G) 13. Rafii Y. 31. Ramla I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Nuss A. 🟨,
31', Boissier R. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Colin M. ⚽, Nuss A. (A),
37', Marcel V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Zogba M. 🟨,
60', Mbondi C. ↓, Julien E. ↑,
63', Marcel V. ↓, Belloumou S. ↑,
63', Boiteau L. ↓, Ndiaye J. ↑,
68', Ndiaye J. 🟨,
76', Colin M. ↓, Ramla I. ↑,
76', Nuss A. ↓, Foll G. ↑,
85', Rocchia C. ↓, Courtet G. ↑,
86', Amir Z. ↓, Wahib A. ↑,
86', Sopromadze Z. ↓, Diakite L. ↑,
86', Boissier R. ↓, Chabane A. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Ndiaye J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 15th and 6th in the Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valenciennes won 1.
Valenciennes is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Amiens is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Valenciennes has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:15 (averaging 0.5:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Valenciennes against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 3:8 goals (averaging 0.4:1.1 per game).