Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 25

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Stade des Alpes (Grenoble)

Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free


	Grenoble		Boulogne

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.88	2.4	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.8
	2.92	2.92	2.52	Watch
	3.07	3.02	2.62
	2.85	3.02	2.62	Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.5
	2.98	3.06	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.4)	2.97 ↓ (3.06)	2.57 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Grenoble
32.5%

Draw
31.3%

Boulogne
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

30.2%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

30%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grenoble's form might have worsened.

Boulogne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grenoble, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boulogne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	36.4%	9.1%

Grenoble - Boulogne Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Grenoble will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Boulogne will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grenoble: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Grenoble (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Boulogne (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Grenoble (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Boulogne (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Diop M. (G) 29. Paquiez G. (C) 24. Mouyokolo L. 5. Vidal C. 27. Xantippe M. 19. Zahui N. 8. Benet J. 6. Bernadou L. 20. Maurin E. 11. Bangre M. 12. Bonnet U.	99. Noukeu B. (G) 97. Moco Z. 25. Gourville S. 5. Zohore N. (C) 12. Boyer J. 90. Martin J. 19. Binet N. 23. Fatar N. 10. El Farissi A. 3. Burlet V. 9. Lecolier M.
Substitutes
16. Allain B. (G) 30. Diba S. 2. Djitte M. 9. Lallias A. 26. Mion M. 10. Mouazan B. 22. N'Gatta A. L.	14. Bultel J. 26. Capuano G. 22. Duflos S. 17. Fatou C. 16. Kone I. (G) 15. Pinot A. 18. Thiam D.
Coaches
Rizzetto F.	Dagneaux F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Bernadou L. 🟨,
35', Martin J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Lecolier M. ↓, Fatou C. ↑,
62', Martin J. ↓, Bultel J. ↑,
64', Zahui N. ↓, Lallias A. ↑,
67', Maurin E. 🟨,
72', Bonnet U. ↓, Djitte M. ↑,
72', Bangre M. ↓, Mouazan B. ↑,
80', Fatar N. ↓, Capuano G. ↑,
80', El Farissi A. ↓, Duflos S. ↑,
83', Xantippe M. ↓, Mion M. ↑,
83', Maurin E. ↓, N'Gatta A. L. ↑,
84', Burlet V. ↓, Thiam D. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 12 and 14)

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Grenoble: Diaby Y. (Red Card)

There will not play in Boulogne: Boiteau L. (Inactive) Fatou C. (Inactive) Keita S. (Inactive) Uriev A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Boulogne: Moco Z. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Grenoble won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Grenoble won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Boulogne: 0.42% Grenoble: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8:11	-3	8
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3:5	-2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grenoble Foot 38
French Ligue 2
20.02.26	Nancy - Grenoble	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Grenoble - Reims	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Annecy - Grenoble	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Grenoble - Amiens	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Pau - Grenoble	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TTTWT
- US Boulogne
French Ligue 2
20.02.26	Boulogne - Clermont	0:2 ✺
13.02.26	Pau - Boulogne	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Boulogne - Rodez	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Saint-Étienne - Boulogne	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Red Star - Boulogne	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
21.11.25	Boulogne - Grenoble	3:1
French Ligue 3
19.01.18	Grenoble - Boulogne	1:2
18.08.17	Boulogne - Grenoble	0:1
Coupe De France
21.01.15	Boulogne - Grenoble	1:0

Upcoming Matches