Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 9

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade des Alpes (Grenoble) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Roffet B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	20:00	Viaplay
Finland	21:00	Viaplay
France	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7
Netherlands	20:00	Viaplay
Norway	20:00	Viaplay
Sweden	20:00	Viaplay


	Grenoble		Boulogne

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.75	2.6	Watch
	2.75	2.90	2.70
	2.8	2.78	2.65
	2.94	2.91	2.85
	2.7	2.91	2.86	Watch
	2.9	2.85	2.75
	2.83	2.88	2.72	Watch
	2.8	2.85	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (2.86)	2.85 ↓ (3.12)	2.73 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grenoble
33.2%

Draw
32.6%

Boulogne
34.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.6%

29.9%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

29%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grenoble has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Boulogne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	70%	10%

Grenoble - Boulogne Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Grenoble will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Boulogne will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Olliero A. (G) 19. Zahui N. 43. Pelon A. 5. Vidal C. 27. Xantippe M. 14. Corboz M. (C) 97. Macon Y. 30. Diba S. 8. Bernadou L. 10. Mouazan B. 17. Cerri L.	99. Noukeu B. (G) 18. Thiam D. 25. Kerriou A. 15. Pinot A. 8. Martin J. 11. Fatar N. 14. Bultel J. 19. Binet N. (C) 12. Boyer J. 10. Hbouch A. 64. Epailly T.
Substitutes
92. Akpa Akpro J. 16. Allain B. (G) 12. Bonnet U. 2. Djitte M. 47. Fofana K. 23. Hoogewerf D. 21. Kouassi C. 3. Limouri F. 6. Magnin Y.	17. Besic B. 20. Brusco T. 22. Duflos S. 1. Lenogue X. (G) 29. Mion M. 7. Nassiri A. 28. Paillard S. 21. Platret A. 36. Soumah M.
Coaches
Frapolli O.	Dagneaux F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Bultel J. ↓, Duflos S. ↑,
14', Xantippe M. 🟨,
41', Binet N. 🟨,
45+2', Bernadou L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', Cerri L. ↓, Fofana K. ↑,
62', Mouazan B. ↓, Hoogewerf D. ↑,
63', Pinot A. 🟨,
67', Pinot A. ↓, Brusco T. ↑,
67', Epailly T. ↓, Soumah M. ↑,
75', Macon Y. ↓, Akpa Akpro J. ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Binet N. ⚽, Soumah M. (A),
80', Boyer J. ↓, Mion M. ↑,
80', Duflos S. ↓, Besic B. ↑,
82', Bernadou L. ↓, Djitte M. ↑,
82', Zahui N. ↓, Kouassi C. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 2, Hbouch A. ⚽, Besic B. (A),

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 14th and 16th in the Ligue 2 (Relegation)).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Grenoble may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Grenoble: Lallias A. (Inactive) N'Gatta A. L. (Injury) Ze Leite (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Boulogne: Etonde L. (Inactive) Moco Z. (Eye injury) Siliadin L. (Inactive).

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Grenoble has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:6 (averaging 0.6:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Grenoble against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Boulogne	10	1	7	2	7:7	0	10
16	Grenoble	10	2	2	6	9:17	-8	8

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Boulogne: 0.59% Grenoble: 0.23%

Last Results with these Odds

Grenoble - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 32.62%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Boulogne - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.47%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grenoble Foot 38
French Ligue 2
09.10.26	Montpellier - Grenoble	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Grenoble - Lausanne Ouchy	0:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
18.09.26	Grenoble - Clermont	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Rodez - Grenoble	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	Grenoble - Annecy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTTWL
- US Boulogne
French Ligue 2
09.10.26	Sochaux - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Boulogne - Nantes	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Clermont - Boulogne	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Boulogne - Dijon	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Montpellier - Boulogne	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
27.02.26	Grenoble - Boulogne	0:0
21.11.25	Boulogne - Grenoble	3:1
French Ligue 3
19.01.18	Grenoble - Boulogne	1:2
18.08.17	Boulogne - Grenoble	0:1
Coupe De France
21.01.15	Boulogne - Grenoble	1:0

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