Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 15

Date: 6 December 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Francis Turcan (Martigues)

Referee: Landry R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free


	Martigues		Guingamp

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.1	1.5	Watch
	5.25	4.2	1.57
	5	4.33	1.55	Watch
	5.52	4.4	1.57
	5.26	4.43	1.54	Watch
	5.5	4.2	1.53
	5.45	4.33	1.57	Watch
	5	4.33	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.22 ↑ (4.26)	4.29 ↑ (3.73)	1.55 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martigues
17.9%

Draw
21.8%

Guingamp
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

24.9%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

24.5%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martigues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guingamp's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guingamp, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Martigues - Guingamp Predictions

Users Predictions: Guingamp will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Marillat Y. (G) 22. Djaha A. 3. Solvet S. 5. Falette S. 18. Amraoui A. 6. Kembolo F. 27. Ipiele A. 12. Robin M. 23. Siby M. 10. Tlili K. 29. Mendy O.	16. Basilio E. (G) 22. Sissoko A. 26. Riou M. 18. Nair S. 6. Vallier L. 21. Ghrieb R. 4. Louiserre D. (C) 8. Sidibe K. 10. Picard H. 13. Hemia A. 17. Siwe J.
Substitutes
50. Anzimati-Aboudou A. (G) 41. Bamba M. 26. Belloumou S. 34. Gautier L. 21. Hadjem Y. 7. Orinel O. 19. Ouotro P.	36. Demouchy A. 19. Guendouz S. 9. Labeau B. 23. Luvambo T. 2. Maronnier L. 30. Niasse B. (G) 27. Touzghar R.
Coaches
Laurey T.	Ripoll S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Vallier L. ↓, Maronnier L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', Djaha A. 🟨,
68', Siwe J. ↓, Labeau B. ↑,
69', Marillat Y. 🟨,
72', Guendouz S. 🟨,
81', Kembolo F. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
88', 0 - 1, Labeau B. ⚽,
89', Solvet S. 🟥,
90', Siby M. ↓, Belloumou S. ↑,
90', Mendy O. ↓, Ouotro P. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 6).

Martigues is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guingamp is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Guingamp could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Guingamp is a favorite.

There will not play in Martigues: Bamba M. (Injury) Diawara A. (Injury) Morante L. (Injury) Orinel O. (Injury) Solvet S. (Injury)

There will not play in Guingamp: Gomis D. (Injury) Lemonnier P. (Injury) Mendes J. A. (Injury) Ndour A. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Martigues
French Ligue 2
22.11.24	Martigues - Laval	0:3 ✺
08.11.24	Amiens - Martigues	1:1 ✺
01.11.24	Martigues - Red Star	0:1 ✺
29.10.24	Martigues - Caen	0:3 ✺
25.10.24	Clermont - Martigues	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LTLLW
- EA Guingamp
Coupe De France
30.11.24	Dinan-Léhon - Guingamp	1:4 ✺
French Ligue 2
22.11.24	Guingamp - Amiens	3:0 ✺
09.11.24	Lorient - Guingamp	3:1 ✺
02.11.24	Guingamp - Grenoble	3:0 ✺
29.10.24	Guingamp - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWW

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