Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 11

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Bauer (Paris - Saint-Ouen)

Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free


	Red Star		Grenoble

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.82	3.45	4.25
	1.88	3.58	4.6
	1.81	3.48	4.09	Watch
	1.82	3.48	4.3	Watch
	1.74	3.8	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.74)	3.55 ↓ (3.8)	4.37 ↓ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Star
51.9%

Draw
26.6%

Grenoble
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

25%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

24.8%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Grenoble has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.9%	10.5%	31.6%

Red Star - Grenoble Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Red Star will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Grenoble will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Grenoble (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Red Star will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Red Star (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Grenoble (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Poussin G. (G) 20. Durivaux D. 24. Lemonnier P. 27. Danger B. 81. Haag G. 22. Sylla D. 3. Huard M. 10. Khaoui S. E. 98. Hachem R. (C) 23. Ikanga J. 7. Durand D.	13. Diop M. (G) 19. Zahui N. 29. Paquiez G. (C) 5. Vidal C. 4. Mambo S. 27. Xantippe M. 25. Valls T. 8. Benet J. 18. Mbock H. 23. Elphege N. 7. Diaby Y.
Substitutes
29. Benali H. 1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 91. Cabral K. 11. Cisse K. 21. Hachem A. 4. Kayi Sanda J. 25. Trani G.	16. Allain B. (G) 11. Bangre M. 17. Delos S. 30. Diba S. 20. Maurin E. 26. Mion M. 24. Mouyokolo L.
Coaches
Poirier G.	Rizzetto F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Mambo S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Durivaux D. 🟨,
72', 1 - 0, Danger B. ⚽, Khaoui S. E. (A),
73', Xantippe M. ↓, Mion M. ↑,
73', Elphege N. ↓, Delos S. ↑,
74', Mbock H. ↓, Diba S. ↑,
79', Durand D. ↓, Cabral K. ↑,
79', Huard M. ↓, Cisse K. ↑,
79', Diaby Y. ↓, Maurin E. ↑,
84', Zahui N. ↓, Bangre M. ↑,
88', Ikanga J. ↓, Trani G. ↑,
88', Khaoui S. E. ↓, Hachem A. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 1.

Red Star is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Grenoble has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Red Star is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R. (Knee Injury) Eickmayer J. (Injury) Escartin J. (Inactive) Halifa I. (Inactive) Trani G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Grenoble: Mouazan B. (Inactive) Sarikaya E. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Red Star: Khaoui S. E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Grenoble: Elphege N. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Red Star won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 2
18.10.25	Laval - Red Star	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Red Star - Rodez	1:1 ✺
29.09.25	Boulogne - Red Star	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Red Star - Troyes	1:3 ✺
19.09.25	Nancy - Red Star	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTWLW
- Grenoble Foot 38
French Ligue 2
17.10.25	Grenoble - Pau	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Reims - Grenoble	2:4 ✺
26.09.25	Grenoble - Bastia	0:0 ✺
23.09.25	Le Mans - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Grenoble - Annecy	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
07.02.25	Grenoble - Red Star	0:0
14.12.24	Red Star - Grenoble	3:1
01.03.19	Grenoble - Red Star	2:0
28.09.18	Red Star - Grenoble	2:3
French Ligue 3
17.02.18	Red Star - Grenoble	0:1
09.09.17	Grenoble - Red Star	0:0

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