Match Info

Date: 28 February 2022, Monday


	Grenoble		Toulouse

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.55	Watch
	5.5	3.8	1.6
	6.4	3.9	1.5	Watch
	5.2	3.8	1.58
	6.27	4.04	1.58
	6	3.75	1.55	Watch
	5.95	3.95	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.8 ↑ (3.62)	3.89 ↑ (3.32)	1.56 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grenoble
16.1%

Draw
24%

Toulouse
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

27.9%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

21.4%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grenoble's form might have worsened.

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toulouse's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.2%	7.2%	85.6%

Grenoble - Toulouse Predictions

Users Predictions: Toulouse will win (107 of 125 users predict this - 85.6%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.45% – 91.75%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Grenoble has the most likely position - 19 (19.75%), has project points - 40, has currently - 25, has a chance of relegated (36%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Toulouse has the most likely position - 1 (75.76%), has project points - 77, has currently - 51, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of promoted (95%), has a good chance of win league (76%).

This event has quality 34, importance 66, match rating 50. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Grenoble is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Toulouse is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Grenoble could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Toulouse is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Grenoble won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Grenoble won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grenoble Foot 38
French Ligue 2
19.02.22	Nîmes - Grenoble	3:1 ✺
15.02.22	Grenoble - Niort	1:0 ✺
12.02.22	Grenoble - Sochaux	1:3 ✺
05.02.22	Quevilly - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
15.01.22	Guingamp - Grenoble	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLLT
- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 2
21.02.22	Toulouse - Le Havre	4:0 ✺
12.02.22	Valenciennes - Toulouse	1:3 ✺
05.02.22	Toulouse - Dijon	4:1 ✺
Coupe De France
29.01.22	Toulouse - Versailles	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
22.01.22	Bastia - Toulouse	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
18.09.21	Toulouse - Grenoble	4:1
French Ligue 1
21.05.21	Toulouse - Grenoble	3:0
French Ligue 2
16.01.21	Toulouse - Grenoble	2:0
29.08.20	Grenoble - Toulouse	5:3

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