Match Info

Date: 12 February 2022, Saturday


	Valenciennes		Toulouse

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.83	Watch
	4.1	3.4	1.85
	4.1	3.4	1.84	Watch
	3.85	3.45	1.86
	4.3	3.58	1.91
	4	3.5	1.83	Watch
	3.94	3.7	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↓ (4.08)	3.5 ↑ (3.4)	1.86 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valenciennes
23.1%

Draw
26.7%

Toulouse
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

26.6%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

21.8%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valenciennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toulouse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Valenciennes - Toulouse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Valenciennes has the most likely position - 18 (12.73%), has project points - 43, has currently - 26, has a chance of relegated (19%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Toulouse has the most likely position - 1 (66.15%), has project points - 74, has currently - 45, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of promoted (89%), has a good chance of win league (66%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Toulouse have a series of home games.

In this match Toulouse is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Valenciennes won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Valenciennes won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 2
05.02.22	Rodez - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
01.02.22	Valenciennes - Nancy	6:1 ✺
28.01.22	Nîmes - Valenciennes	2:1 ✺
08.01.22	Valenciennes - Guingamp	1:1 ✺
21.12.21	Sochaux - Valenciennes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWLTT
- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 2
05.02.22	Toulouse - Dijon	4:1 ✺
Coupe De France
29.01.22	Toulouse - Versailles	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
22.01.22	Bastia - Toulouse	0:0 ✺
19.01.22	Toulouse - Nancy	4:0 ✺
15.01.22	Toulouse - Pau	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
28.08.21	Toulouse - Valenciennes	1:0
02.03.21	Valenciennes - Toulouse	1:0
07.11.20	Toulouse - Valenciennes	4:5
French Ligue 1
17.05.14	Toulouse - Valenciennes	3:1
10.08.13	Valenciennes - Toulouse	3:0
23.02.13	Valenciennes - Toulouse	0:0
06.10.12	Toulouse - Valenciennes	2:2

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