Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer (Fürth)

Referee: Lechner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
World	beIN Sports Connect


	Greuther Fürth		Sandhausen

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3.7	3.9	Watch
	1.88	3.55	4
	1.9	3.55	3.9
	1.97	3.64	4.03
	1.88	3.4	3.9	Watch
	1.88	3.72	3.84	Watch
	1.93	3.6	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.88)	3.58 ↓ (3.63)	3.97 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greuther Fürth
49.7%

Draw
26.4%

Sandhausen
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

25.9%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

25.4%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Sandhausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandhausen than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.1%	18.2%	22.7%

Greuther Fürth - Sandhausen Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Fürth will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Sandhausen will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fürth: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 15).

Fürth has the most likely position - 16 (9.23%), has project points - 41, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (19%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sandhausen has the most likely position - 17 (13.37%), has project points - 37, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (32%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 28, importance 37, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fürth won 2.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Fürth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fürth is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Fürth won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 27-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Fürth won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greuther Fürth
German 2 Bundesliga
18.09.22	Greuther Fürth - Paderborn	2:1 ✺
11.09.22	Magdeburg - Greuther Fürth	2:1 ✺
03.09.22	Greuther Fürth - St. Pauli	2:2 ✺
28.08.22	Hannover - Greuther Fürth	2:1 ✺
21.08.22	Greuther Fürth - Kaiserslautern	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLTLL
- SV Sandhausen
German 2 Bundesliga
16.09.22	Sandhausen - Hannover	2:3 ✺
11.09.22	St. Pauli - Sandhausen	1:1 ✺
04.09.22	Sandhausen - Kaiserslautern	0:0 ✺
28.08.22	Holstein Kiel - Sandhausen	1:0 ✺
20.08.22	Sandhausen - Nürnberg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
28.04.21	Greuther Fürth - Sandhausen	3:2
11.12.20	Sandhausen - Greuther Fürth	0:3
05.06.20	Greuther Fürth - Sandhausen	1:2
09.11.19	Sandhausen - Greuther Fürth	3:2
Club Friendly
22.01.19	Greuther Fürth - Sandhausen	1:1
German 2 Bundesliga
21.12.18	Sandhausen - Greuther Fürth	0:0
04.08.18	Greuther Fürth - Sandhausen	3:1

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