Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 28

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer (Fürth)

Referee: Erbst L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	beIN Connect, ESPN
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
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Croatia	SportKlub 9
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Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6, WOW
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Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN
World	Onefootball


	Greuther Fürth		Paderborn

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.8	1.83	Watch
	4.05	3.75	1.75	Watch
	4.3	3.98	1.83
	4.16	4	1.78	Watch
	4	3.6	1.75	Watch
	4.22	3.81	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.85)	3.82 ↓ (3.84)	1.79 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greuther Fürth
22.8%

Draw
24.6%

Paderborn
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	14.3%	64.3%

Greuther Fürth - Paderborn Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Fürth will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Paderborn will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Prufrock S. (G) 23. Dehm J. 15. Elvedi J. 4. Ziereis P. 5. Munz R. 33. Dietz M. 13. Will P. 30. Klaus F. 10. Hrgota B. (C) 47. Ltaief S. 9. Futkeu N.	41. Seimen D. (G) 25. Scheller T. 20. Gotze F. 4. Brackelmann C. 17. Curda L. 14. Baur M. 22. Hansen M. (C) 23. Obermair R. 2. Muller R. 26. Klaas S. 30. Marino S.
Substitutes
28. Arifi D. 25. Bjarnason B. 26. Boevink P. (G) 11. Dardari A. 37. Green J. 18. Higl F. 24. John M. 16. Keller A. 2. Reich L.	9. Batzner N. 7. Bilbija F. 5. Castaneda S. 8. Kinsombi D. 11. Michel S. 10. Okpala K. 1. Schubert M. (G) 3. Sticker J. 27. Tigges S.
Coaches
Vogel H.	Kettemann R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Marino S. ⚽, Curda L. (A),
64', Dehm J. ↓, Reich L. ↑,
64', Ltaief S. ↓, Keller A. ↑,
64', Muller R. ↓, Bilbija F. ↑,
65', Klaas S. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
67', Ziereis P. 🟨,
68', Hansen M. 🟨,
69', Hansen M. ↓, Castaneda S. ↑,
75', Dietz M. ↓, John M. ↑,
82', Marino S. ↓, Batzner N. ↑,
82', Scheller T. ↓, Sticker J. ↑,
84', Castaneda S. 🟨,
86', 0 - 2, Bilbija F. ⚽, Tigges S. (A),
87', Ziereis P. ↓, Dardari A. ↑,
90+2', Bilbija F. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 3.

Fürth has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Paderborn is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fürth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Paderborn is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Fürth: Banse S. (Knee Injury) John M. (Muscle Injury) Schlieck T. (Muscle Injury) Varela K. (Illness)

There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A. (Ankle Injury) Copado L. (Muscle Injury) Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Fürth won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 2.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Fürth won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:6. (average 2.8:0.8).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Greuther Furth: 0.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Greuther Furth	6	1	3	2	9:11	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greuther Fürth
Club Friendly
26.03.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
20.03.26	Karlsruher - Greuther Fürth	3:1 ✺
13.03.26	Greuther Fürth - Elversberg	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Hannover - Greuther Fürth	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Greuther Fürth - Schalke 04	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 LLWWT
- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
21.03.26	Paderborn - Dynamo Dresden	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Paderborn	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Paderborn - Eintracht Braunschweig	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Kaiserslautern - Paderborn	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Paderborn - Hertha Berlin	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
02.11.25	Paderborn - Greuther Fürth	2:1
02.02.25	Paderborn - Greuther Fürth	1:2
24.08.24	Greuther Fürth - Paderborn	1:1
21.01.24	Paderborn - Greuther Fürth	0:1
30.07.23	Greuther Fürth - Paderborn	5:0
02.04.23	Paderborn - Greuther Fürth	3:2
18.09.22	Greuther Fürth - Paderborn	2:1

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