Match Info

Date: 28 August 2022, Sunday

Location: Holstein-Stadion (Kiel)

Referee: Sather A. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Sports 1 MAX
World	beIN Sports Connect


	Holstein Kiel		Sandhausen

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.8	3.75	Watch
	1.87	3.75	3.75	Watch
	1.86	3.75	3.8
	1.9	3.75	3.7
	1.96	3.82	3.89
	1.88	3.5	3.8	Watch
	1.89	3.78	3.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.08)	3.74 ↑ (3.51)	3.78 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel
49.8%

Draw
25.2%

Sandhausen
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

26.6%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

27.4%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Sandhausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandhausen than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.7%	25.7%	8.6%

Holstein Kiel - Sandhausen Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 23 - 65.7%). Sandhausen will win (votes: 3 - 8.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 25.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Holstein Kiel: 50% – 81.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 14).

Holstein Kiel has the most likely position - 13 (7.64%), has project points - 45, has currently - 8, has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Sandhausen has the most likely position - 15 (10.97%), has project points - 40, has currently - 6, has a chance of relegated (20%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 27, small importance 24, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Holstein Kiel will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Holstein Kiel won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
20.08.22	Paderborn - Holstein Kiel	7:2 ✺
13.08.22	Holstein Kiel - Eintracht Braunschweig	3:0 ✺
07.08.22	Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
31.07.22	Waldhof Mannheim - Holstein Kiel	1:0 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
23.07.22	Holstein Kiel - Kaiserslautern	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWLT
- SV Sandhausen
German 2 Bundesliga
20.08.22	Sandhausen - Nürnberg	1:2 ✺
13.08.22	Karlsruher - Sandhausen	3:2 ✺
05.08.22	Sandhausen - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
31.07.22	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden - Sandhausen	0:4 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
22.07.22	Darmstadt - Sandhausen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
15.05.22	Sandhausen - Holstein Kiel	3:1
11.12.21	Holstein Kiel - Sandhausen	2:2
04.05.21	Holstein Kiel - Sandhausen	2:0
20.12.20	Sandhausen - Holstein Kiel	0:2
22.12.19	Sandhausen - Holstein Kiel	2:2
27.07.19	Holstein Kiel - Sandhausen	1:1
27.04.19	Sandhausen - Holstein Kiel	3:2

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