Match Info

Date: 7 February 2021, Sunday


	Greuther Fürth		Würzburger Kickers

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	6.5	Watch
	1.55	4.1	6.25	Watch
	1.53	4.1	5.8
	1.58	4.1	5.2
	1.59	4.17	6.11
	1.53	4	6
	1.58	4.3	5.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.54)	4.08 ↓ (4.14)	5.9 ↓ (5.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greuther Fürth
60.8%

Draw
23.2%

Würzburger Kickers
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

22.8%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

13.6%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Würzburger Kickers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (-24.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Greuther Fürth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Würzburger Kickers than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Würzburger Kickers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	5.6%	16.7%

Greuther Fürth - Würzburger Kickers Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Fürth will win (votes: 28 - 77.8%). Würzburger Kickers will win (votes: 6 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fürth: 64.2% – 91.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 and 18 in the zone Relegation to 3. Liga).

Fürth has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (32%), has a small chance of win league (10%).

Würzburger Kickers has a good chance of relegated (79%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Würzburger Kickers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fürth is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fürth won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Fürth won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greuther Fürth
German DFB Pokal
02.02.21	Werder Bremen - Greuther Fürth	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
29.01.21	Greuther Fürth - Erzgebirge Aue	3:0 ✺
26.01.21	Osnabrück - Greuther Fürth	0:1 ✺
22.01.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Greuther Fürth	3:3 ✺
15.01.21	Greuther Fürth - Paderborn	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWTT
- Würzburger Kickers
German 2 Bundesliga
29.01.21	Würzburger Kickers - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1 ✺
26.01.21	Erzgebirge Aue - Würzburger Kickers	2:1 ✺
23.01.21	Paderborn - Würzburger Kickers	1:0 ✺
15.01.21	Würzburger Kickers - Eintracht Braunschweig	0:0 ✺
09.01.21	Osnabrück - Würzburger Kickers	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
04.10.20	Würzburger Kickers - Greuther Fürth	2:2
24.02.17	Würzburger Kickers - Greuther Fürth	1:1
16.09.16	Greuther Fürth - Würzburger Kickers	0:3

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