The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Greuther Fürth 18.2%
Draw 21.6%
Hoffenheim 60.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.7%
23.6%
54.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.6%
19.1%
67.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hoffenheim's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hoffenheim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Greuther Fürth - Hoffenheim Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 10).
Fürth has the most likely position - 18 (69.84%), has project points - 21, has currently - 1, has a good chance of relegated (88%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Hoffenheim has the most likely position - 7 (10.41%), has project points - 50, has currently - 17, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (19%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Fürth has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Hoffenheim is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Hoffenheim is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Hoffenheim to win the game is with odds 1.66.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Fürth won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Fürth won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.
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