Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 29 July 2026, Wednesday


	Hoffenheim		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.75	3.40
	1.61	4.10	4.00
	1.56	4.40	4.90
	1.60	4.74	4.02
	1.63	4.89	4.05	Watch
	1.55	4.70	3.65
	1.63	4.65	4.20	Watch
	1.62	4.20	3.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.3)	4.55 ↓ (5.65)	4 ↓ (8.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hoffenheim
57%

Draw
20.1%

Holstein Kiel
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.9%

16.5%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hoffenheim's form might have worsened.

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Holstein Kiel's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hoffenheim - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Philipp L. (G) 29. Abraha N. 7. Avdullahu L. 20. Conte B. 17. De Cat N. 4. Dulic S. 21. Hajdari A. (C) 19. Lemperle T. 32. Lenz C. 39. Rots M. 38. Zeitler D.	1. Weiner T. (G) 8. Balzi G. 11. Bernhardsson A. 15. Davidsen K. 20. Kapralik A. 9. Kvilitaia G. 28. Meffert J. (C) 13. Nekic I. 40. Parduzi L. 32. Sekine H. 26. Zec D.
Substitutes
35. Arthur Chaves 13. Bernardo 18. Burger W. 16. Engelns L. 15. Gendrey V. 41. Hencke O. 43. Honajzer A. 9. Moerstedt M. 36. Petersson L. (G) 40. Spranger T. 25. Tohumcu U.	17. Alidou F. 19. Harres P. 6. Ivezic M. 46. Medlin C. 48. Muqaj H. 33. Richter Monserrat M. 41. Rothenhagen L. (G) 30. Tasdelen T. 10. Therkelsen J. 27. Ugoh I. 34. Wiese L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Lemperle T. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Harres P. ⚽,
41', 2 - 1, Lemperle T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Philipp L. ↓, Petersson L. ↑,
46', Abraha N. ↓, Gendrey V. ↑,
46', Conte B. ↓, Arthur Chaves ↑,
46', De Cat N. ↓, Spranger T. ↑,
46', Dulic S. ↓, Bernardo ↑,
46', Hajdari A. ↓, Engelns L. ↑,
46', Lemperle T. ↓, Tohumcu U. ↑,
46', Lenz C. ↓, Burger W. ↑,
46', Rots M. ↓, Honajzer A. ↑,
46', Zeitler D. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
46', Avdullahu L. ↓, Hencke O. ↑,
71', Meffert J. ↓, Ivezic M. ↑,
71', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Therkelsen J. ↑,
71', Balzi G. ↓, Alidou F. ↑,
80', Kapralik A. ↓, Richter Monserrat M. ↑,
80', Sekine H. ↓, Ugoh I. ↑,
82', 3 - 1, Moerstedt M. ⚽,

Preview

Hoffenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hoffenheim is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 3.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 4:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
16.05.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Hoffenheim	4:0 ✺
09.05.26	Hoffenheim - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Hoffenheim - Stuttgart	3:3 ✺
25.04.26	Hamburger SV - Hoffenheim	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTWW
- Holstein Kiel
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Mainz - Holstein Kiel	3:0 ✺
18.07.26	Swansea City - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
15.07.26	Holstein Kiel - Al-Ahli Jeddah	4:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
17.05.26	Dynamo Dresden - Holstein Kiel	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Holstein Kiel - Magdeburg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
18.01.25	Holstein Kiel - Hoffenheim	1:3
24.08.24	Hoffenheim - Holstein Kiel	3:2
German DFB Pokal
26.10.21	Hoffenheim - Holstein Kiel	5:1

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