Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 10

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: PreZero Arena (Sinsheim)

Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hoffenheim		RB Leipzig

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.8	2.35	Watch
	2.72	3.7	2.38	Watch
	2.79	3.95	2.41
	2.73	3.85	2.35	Watch
	2.82	3.99	2.35	Watch
	2.7	3.9	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.74)	3.87 ↑ (3.78)	2.37 (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hoffenheim
34.8%

Draw
24.7%

RB Leipzig
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

25.1%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

25%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	15.8%	73.7%

Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 4 - 10.5%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 59.7% – 87.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - RB Leipzig (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - RB Leipzig (2.36) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): RB Leipzig will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 13 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baumann O. (C) 34. Coufal V. 2. Hranac R. 21. Hajdari A. 13. Bernardo 6. Promel G. 7. Avdullahu L. 18. Burger W. 27. Kramaric A. 19. Lemperle T. 29. Toure B.	1. Gulacsi P. (G) 17. Baku R. 4. Orban W. 5. Bitshiabu E. 22. Raum D. (C) 20. Ouedraogo A. 13. Seiwald N. 14. Baumgartner C. 49. Diomande Y. 40. Romulo Cardoso 7. Nusa A.
Substitutes
35. Arthur Chaves 11. Asllani F. 9. Bebou I. 10. Damar M. 5. Kabak O. 33. Moerstedt M. 37. Philipp L. (G) 22. Prass A. 17. Tohumcu U.	9. Bakayoko J. 6. Banzuzi E. 27. Gomis T. 8. Haidara A. 11. Harder C. 16. Klostermann L. 23. Lukeba C. 33. Maksimovic A. 26. Vandevoordt M. (G)
Coaches
Ilzer C.	Werner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', Bernardo 🟨,
9', 0 - 1, Diomande Y. ⚽, Ouedraogo A. (A),
12', Raum D. 🟨,
20', 1 - 1, Hajdari A. ⚽, Burger W. (A),
38', 2 - 1, Lemperle T. ⚽, Coufal V. (A),
41', Avdullahu L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', Kramaric A. ↓, Asllani F. ↑,
67', Diomande Y. ↓, Bakayoko J. ↑,
67', Ouedraogo A. ↓, Banzuzi E. ↑,
72', Lemperle T. 🟨,
75', Seiwald N. ↓, Harder C. ↑,
75', Toure B. ↓, Prass A. ↑,
76', Lemperle T. ↓, Bebou I. ↑,
79', 3 - 1, Promel G. ⚽, Asllani F. (A),
87', Promel G. ↓, Damar M. ↑,
87', Bernardo ↓, Kabak O. ↑,
88', Baku R. ↓, Klostermann L. ↑,
88', Nusa A. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
90', Bakayoko J. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 1.

In recent matches, Hoffenheim has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

RB Leipzig is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V. (Ankle Injury) Hlozek A. (Foot Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in RB Leipzig: Gebel V. (Knee Injury) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kampl K. (Personal Reasons) Nedeljkovic K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Arthur Chaves (Face Injury)

There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Lukeba C. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 26:37. (average 1.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
02.11.25	Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim	2:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	St. Pauli - Hoffenheim	3:2 penalties ✺
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Hoffenheim - Heidenheim	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	St. Pauli - Hoffenheim	0:3 ✺
03.10.25	Hoffenheim - Köln	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWL
- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
01.11.25	RB Leipzig - Stuttgart	3:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Energie Cottbus - RB Leipzig	1:4 ✺
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Augsburg - RB Leipzig	0:6 ✺
18.10.25	RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Borussia Dortmund - RB Leipzig	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
05.04.25	RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim	3:1
23.11.24	Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig	4:3
03.05.24	Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig	1:1
16.12.23	RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim	3:1
29.04.23	RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim	1:0
German DFB Pokal
01.02.23	RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim	3:1
German Bundesliga
05.11.22	Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig	1:3

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