The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hoffenheim 46.6%
Draw 27.6%
Hertha Berlin 25.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.6%
26%
25.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
25.6%
25%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
74.1%
18.5%
7.4%
Hoffenheim - Hertha Berlin Predictions
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). Hertha will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 18.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 57.6% โ 90.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 15).
Hoffenheim has the most likely position - 18 (21.78%), project points - 31, currently - 19, a chance of relegated (44%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
Hertha has the most likely position - 18 (20.38%), project points - 31, currently - 21, a chance of relegated (44%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
This event has quality62, big importance70, match rating66. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 3.
Hoffenheim has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Hertha is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Hoffenheim will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Hoffenheim: Bebou I.
(Hip Injury)
Bruun Larsen J.
(Groin Injury)
Che J.
(Knee Injury)
Dolberg K.
(Head Injury)
Kabak O.
(Red Card)
Nsoki S.
(Hip Injury)
Promel G.
(Ankle Injury)
Rudy S.
(Hip Injury)
Vogt K.
(Groin Injury)
There will not play in Hertha: Boateng K.
(Illness)
Boetius J-P.
(Shoulder Injury)
Ejuke C.
(Knee Injury)
Jarstein R.
(Injury)
Nsona K.
(Knee Injury)
Our prediction for today's Hertha to win the game is with odds 3.47.
Last 21 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 10 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 35-26.
Including matches at home between the teams Hoffenheim won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-10.