Match Info

LATVIA: Virsliga - Round 32

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday

Location: Daugavas stadions (Liepāja)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	TV4
World	Onefootball app


	Grobiņa		Valmiera

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.8	1.34
	7	5	1.36
	6.45	5.05	1.37
	6.87	5.12	1.38	Watch
	6.5	4.8	1.33
	7.1	4.85	1.33	Watch
	7	5	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.74 ↓ (7.25)	4.95 ↑ (4.25)	1.35 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grobiņa
13.6%

Draw
18.6%

Valmiera
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.7%

21.6%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

14.3%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grobiņa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Valmiera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grobiņa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valmiera than the current prediction. (-24.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valmiera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Grobiņa - Valmiera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Malysh A. (G) 11. Tumanovs A. 3. Druzinins D. 7. Krautmanis J. 12. Melkis R. 44. Sdaigui Z. 8. Knapsis E. 21. Galata D. 67. Stuglis I. 17. Gaucis R. 19. Krusatins A. (C)	12. Oss D. (G) 18. Dusalijevs N. 36. Kragliks R. 5. Alekseiciks K. 27. Birka E. 7. Gustavo 14. Varslavans R. 34. Korobenko A. 10. Vapne L. 24. Ndoye A. 77. Porsan-Clemente J. (C)
Substitutes
10. Dobrecovs D. 13. Dzerins R. 23. Fjodorovs M. 22. Machado D. 4. Mammadzade N. 16. Mosquera D. 32. Pincuks N. (G) 14. Rupeiks K.	22. Diop M. 17. Duke C. 8. Kawasaki S. 37. Lucas Aruba 1. Olses C. (G) 41. Omori Y. 21. Penkevics K. 25. Rotar C. 4. Veips R.
Coaches
Dobrecovs V.	Kalnins G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, Sdaigui Z. ⚽, Knapsis E. (A),
23', Ndoye A. 🟨,
26', Kragliks R. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Porsan-Clemente J. (Pen),
45', 1 - 2, Ndoye A. ⚽, Vapne L. (A),
45+2', Krautmanis J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', Sdaigui Z. 🟨,
49', Krusatins A. 🟨,
51', Druzinins D. 🟨,
56', Krusatins A. 🟨,
61', Melkis R. ↓, Mosquera D. ↑,
61', Gaucis R. ↓, Dobrecovs D. ↑,
63', Gustavo ↓, Diop M. ↑,
63', Dusalijevs N. ↓, Penkevics K. ↑,
71', Stuglis I. ↓, Fjodorovs M. ↑,
71', Sdaigui Z. ↓, Mammadzade N. ↑,
72', 1 - 3, Porsan-Clemente J. (Pen),
77', Vapne L. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
80', Galata D. ↓, Machado D. ↑,
88', Porsan-Clemente J. ↓, Omori Y. ↑,
88', Birka E. ↓, Duke C. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 4, Ndoye A. ⚽, Penkevics K. (A),
90+3', Druzinins D. 🟨,

Preview

Grobiņa has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Valmiera is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Valmiera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Valmiera is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Grobiņa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Grobiņa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grobiņas SC
Latvian Virsliga
28.09.24	Grobiņa - Tukums 2000	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Auda Riga - Grobiņa	2:0 ✺
14.09.24	BFC Daugavpils - Grobiņa	4:0 ✺
31.08.24	Riga - Grobiņa	6:1 ✺
23.08.24	Grobiņa - Jelgava	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Valmiera FK
Latvian Virsliga
28.09.24	Valmiera - Auda Riga	2:3 ✺
19.09.24	Riga - Valmiera	1:0 ✺
13.09.24	Valmiera - RFS	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Valmiera - Metta	4:0 ✺
24.08.24	Tukums 2000 - Valmiera	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
21.07.24	Valmiera - Grobiņa	0:0
20.05.24	Grobiņa - Valmiera	0:2
09.04.24	Valmiera - Grobiņa	1:1

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