Match Info

Virsliga - Round 22

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Grobiņas pilsētas stadions (Grobina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, TV4
World	Onefootball


	Grobiņa		Metta

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.3	3.4
	1.89	3.41	3.46	Watch
	1.91	3.71	3.77
				Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.5
	1.88	3.48	3.58	Watch
	1.98	3.4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (1.99)	3.43 ↑ (3.37)	3.49 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grobiņa
47.5%

Draw
26.5%

Metta
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

26.8%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

25.5%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grobiņa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Metta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metta than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Grobiņa - Metta Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Grobiņa (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Grobiņa (3.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Grobiņa (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Pincuks N. (G) 16. Sidorovs M. 3. Druzinins D. (C) 43. Bekili P. 13. Dzerins R. 20. Doudou Diouf I. P. 27. Baravykas R. 11. Rascevskis O. 10. Dobrecovs D. 99. Puzirevskis A. 70. Morarenko S.	1. Sorokins A. (G) 2. Scremin G. 4. Vilnis K. (C) 17. Kangars A. 27. Cesnieks K. 3. Lauan 10. Klavinskis R. 15. Cinajevs D. 8. Kamara M. 21. Rekis K. 9. Saleh S.
Substitutes
24. Borisovs R. 23. Fjodorovs M. 19. Gaucis R. 97. Grjaznovs A. 9. Kalmarzy A. 32. Kluskins G. 8. Knapsis E. 84. Lazarevs V. (G) 44. Sdaigui Z.	29. Bangura A. 18. Evelons E. 11. Ivulans M. 30. Kamara S. 32. Linins A. (G) 5. Minkevics I. 19. Molotkovs A. 14. Smilskalns G.
Coaches
Dobrecovs V.	Riherts A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Scremin G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Cesnieks K. ↓, Kamara S. ↑,
65', Klavinskis R. ↓, Ivulans M. ↑,
65', Rekis K. ↓, Bangura A. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Ivulans M. ⚽,
73', Baravykas R. ↓, Sdaigui Z. ↑,
73', Dzerins R. ↓, Gaucis R. ↑,
78', Doudou Diouf I. P. ↓, Knapsis E. ↑,
78', Morarenko S. ↓, Grjaznovs A. ↑,
78', Saleh S. ↓, Evelons E. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grobiņa won 0.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Metta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Grobiņa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Grobiņa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.4:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Grobiņa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 2:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grobiņas SC
Latvian Virsliga
30.06.25	Liepāja - Grobiņa	2:0 ✺
26.06.25	BFC Daugavpils - Grobiņa	3:2 ✺
22.06.25	Jelgava - Grobiņa	0:1 ✺
18.06.25	Grobiņa - Auda Riga	1:2 ✺
14.06.25	Grobiņa - Riga	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWLL
- FK Metta
Latvian Virsliga
02.07.25	Metta - Tukums 2000	0:3 ✺
27.06.25	Super Nova - Metta	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	Liepāja - Metta	1:0 ✺
17.06.25	Metta - BFC Daugavpils	2:2 ✺
13.06.25	Jelgava - Metta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
15.05.25	Metta - Grobiņa	1:1
30.03.25	Grobiņa - Metta	2:4
20.10.24	Metta - Grobiņa	2:1
27.07.24	Grobiņa - Metta	1:2
25.05.24	Metta - Grobiņa	1:1
13.04.24	Grobiņa - Metta	3:0
27.11.22	Grobiņa - Metta	2:3

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