Match Info

Virsliga - Round 21

Date: 2 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Rīgas Hanzas vidusskolas stadions (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV
World	Onefootball


	Metta		Tukums 2000

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.4
	2.62	3.25	2.38	Watch
	2.5	3.64	2.57
				Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.45
	2.67	3.35	2.29	Watch
	2.62	3.25	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.14)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	2.41 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metta
35.5%

Draw
26.9%

Tukums 2000
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

26.8%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

25.9%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metta's form might have worsened.

Tukums 2000 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tukums 2000's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metta than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tukums 2000, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Metta - Tukums 2000 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Metta will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Tukums 2000 will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Metta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Metta (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Metta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sorokins A. (G) 2. Scremin G. 4. Vilnis K. (C) 17. Kangars A. 5. Minkevics I. 3. Lauan 21. Rekis K. 15. Cinajevs D. 8. Kamara M. 11. Ivulans M. 9. Saleh S.	23. Sturins R. (G) 2. Kholod A. 8. Reingolcs R. 99. Mihoubi M. 5. Rogovs D. 6. Volkovs K. 15. Kirss R. 11. Anmanis 10. Samoilovs B. (C) 18. Dusalijevs N. 7. Pulis I.
Substitutes
29. Bangura A. 27. Cesnieks K. 18. Evelons E. 30. Kamara S. 10. Klavinskis R. 32. Linins A. (G) 14. Smilskalns G.	24. Ansevics E. 16. Atligins I. 90. Bekima B. 20. Dzeguze R. 12. Gorbacenoks V. (G) 4. Kacanovs G. 14. Putrans D. 3. Semesko M. 21. Valmiers D.
Coaches
Riherts A.	Dislers K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Volkovs K. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Pulis I. ⚽, Dusalijevs N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ivulans M. ↓, Kamara S. ↑,
46', Kamara M. ↓, Klavinskis R. ↑,
54', Saleh S. ↓, Evelons E. ↑,
54', Rekis K. ↓, Bangura A. ↑,
58', Kirss R. ↓, Valmiers D. ↑,
67', Samoilovs B. ↓, Putrans D. ↑,
67', Kholod A. ↓, Bekima B. ↑,
69', Scremin G. ↓, Smilskalns G. ↑,
76', Cinajevs D. 🟨,
79', Reingolcs R. 🟨,
81', Pulis I. 🟨,
86', 0 - 2, Mihoubi M. ⚽,
87', Valmiers D. 🟨,
89', 0 - 3, Bekima B. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga and 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metta won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Recently, Metta has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Metta won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Metta won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Metta
Latvian Virsliga
27.06.25	Super Nova - Metta	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	Liepāja - Metta	1:0 ✺
17.06.25	Metta - BFC Daugavpils	2:2 ✺
13.06.25	Jelgava - Metta	2:1 ✺
29.05.25	Auda Riga - Metta	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTLL
- Tukums 2000
Latvian Virsliga
25.06.25	Tukums 2000 - Liepāja	1:3 ✺
21.06.25	BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000	1:2 ✺
17.06.25	Tukums 2000 - Jelgava	1:1 ✺
13.06.25	Tukums 2000 - Auda Riga	2:4 ✺
31.05.25	Riga - Tukums 2000	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
11.05.25	Tukums 2000 - Metta	2:0
16.03.25	Metta - Tukums 2000	3:2
06.10.24	Tukums 2000 - Metta	0:1
22.07.24	Metta - Tukums 2000	0:0
21.05.24	Metta - Tukums 2000	1:1
08.04.24	Tukums 2000 - Metta	0:0
23.09.23	Metta - Tukums 2000	1:1

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