Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 6

Date: 15 September 2023, Friday

Location: Euroborg (Groningen)

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)


	Groningen		ADO Den Haag

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.2	6	Watch
	1.55	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.56	4.44	5.78
	1.5	3.9	5	Watch
	1.54	4.4	5.55	Watch
	1.54	4.2	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.77)	4.25 ↑ (3.66)	5.51 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Groningen
60.9%

Draw
22.1%

ADO Den Haag
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

25%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

25%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Groningen's performance.

ADO Den Haag has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ADO Den Haag might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Groningen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ADO Den Haag could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Groningen - ADO Den Haag Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Groningen will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Den Haag will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Groningen: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Verrips M. (G) 5. Rente M. 12. Balker R. 43. Peersman M. 18. Maatta I. 40. Valente L. 7. Hove J. 8. Bacuna L. 11. Abraham P. 9. van Veen K. 22. Emeran N.	1. Wentges H. (G) 22. Che J. 5. van Hintum B. 4. Waem M. 2. Asante T. 6. Surmeli K. (C) 13. Vigen L. 7. van Mieghem D. 10. van der Sande J. 14. Koudossou H. 9. Veerman H.
Substitutes
20. Blokzijl T. 98. de Jonge T. 10. Irandust D. 21. Jurjus H. (G) 17. Lien K. 44. Meijster J. (G) 24. Musampa Nordin N. 4. Pelupessy J. 99. Prins W. 14. Schreuders J. 42. Turay F. 25. van Bergen T.	15. Absalem A. 30. de Koning A. 16. Gustina C. 24. Hamdaoui M. 17. Ideho J. 20. Komljenovic S. 99. Nigro G. 23. Nikiema K. (G) 11. Sellouki M.
Coaches
Lukkien D.	Kalezic D.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Groningen won 3.

Recent matches Groningen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Den Haag is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Groningen is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Groningen won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Groningen won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Groningen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
01.09.23	FC Oss - Groningen	0:2 ✺
27.08.23	Groningen - Willem II	0:0 ✺
21.08.23	Jong Utrecht - Groningen	1:0 ✺
11.08.23	Groningen - Jong Ajax	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Zwolle - Groningen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTLWT
- ADO Den Haag
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.09.23	ADO Den Haag - Jong AZ Alkmaar	4:1 ✺
25.08.23	Den Bosch - ADO Den Haag	1:2 ✺
18.08.23	ADO Den Haag - Roda	0:3 ✺
11.08.23	De Graafschap - ADO Den Haag	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	ADO Den Haag - Genk U23	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
26.01.21	Groningen - ADO Den Haag	3:0
20.09.20	ADO Den Haag - Groningen	0:1
03.05.20	Groningen - ADO Den Haag	Canceled
14.12.19	ADO Den Haag - Groningen	1:1
17.03.19	Groningen - ADO Den Haag	1:0
06.10.18	ADO Den Haag - Groningen	1:0
11.02.18	Groningen - ADO Den Haag	0:0

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