Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 33

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: De Vijverberg (Doetinchem)

Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN


	De Graafschap		ADO Den Haag

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.7	2.2
	2.95	3.75	2
	2.82	3.95	2.18	Watch
	2.8	4.16	2.23
	2.71	4.21	2.18	Watch
	2.7	3.8	2.15
	2.86	3.68	2.24	Watch
	3.45	4	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (3.47)	3.91 ↓ (4)	2.12 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

De Graafschap
32.2%

Draw
23.8%

ADO Den Haag
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

23%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

22.3%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in De Graafschap's performance.

ADO Den Haag has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ADO Den Haag might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with De Graafschap that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ADO Den Haag could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

De Graafschap - ADO Den Haag Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Den Haag will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wieggers T. (G) 24. Meerstadt J. 15. Kok T. 3. Besselink R. 2. Martens N. 8. Gijselhart T. 10. Niemeijer R. (C) 5. Schoppema L. 19. El Allachi C. 9. Eggens N. 11. El Kadiri I.	1. Nikiema K. (G) 2. van der Sloot S. 3. Mulder P. 4. Waem M. 18. Sylla S. 25. Kilo J. 7. van Mieghem D. 8. Vlak J. (C) 21. Peupion C. 11. Rottier E. 23. Bal J.
Substitutes
27. Ahmeti N. 18. Bultman S. 22. de Jong F. 14. Hardeman J. 25. Jonkers R. (G) 17. Kaninda N. 12. Kremers S. (G) 40. Kwint K. 7. Simons J. 6. Smits M. 21. Symons K.	30. Brandt J. 16. de Bruin F. 26. de Ruijter I. 9. Fiabema B. 14. Jimenez M. 5. Kreekels M. 24. Lejoly A. (G) 35. Puljhun S. 19. Reischl L. 27. Thomas N. 45. Tomas D.
Coaches
Dijkhuizen M.	Peter R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Kok T. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', El Kadiri I. ↓, Kaninda N. ↑,
46', Peupion C. ↓, de Ruijter I. ↑,
56', Bal J. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
56', van Mieghem D. ↓, Thomas N. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Eggens N. ⚽, Niemeijer R. (A),
62', 1 - 2, Vlak J. ⚽, Fiabema B. (A),
71', Sylla S. 🟨,
74', Besselink R. ↓, Bultman S. ↑,
75', Sylla S. ↓, Reischl L. ↑,
75', El Allachi C. ↓, Kwint K. ↑,
76', Niemeijer R. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
76', Rottier E. ↓, Kreekels M. ↑,
85', Vlak J. 🟨,
85', Meerstadt J. ↓, Hardeman J. ↑,
85', Kok T. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
90', Reischl L. ↓, Jimenez M. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).

Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

De Graafschap may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Den Haag might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

De Graafschap: 0.81%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	De Graafschap	10	3	2	5	13:23	-10	11

Last Results with these Odds

ADO Den Haag - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.38%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie
14.03.26	De Graafschap - Dordrecht	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	De Graafschap - Vitesse	1:4 ✺
27.02.26	MVV Maastricht - De Graafschap	3:3 ✺
20.02.26	De Graafschap - Jong Utrecht	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Jong PSV - De Graafschap	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLTWW
- ADO Den Haag
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.03.26	ADO Den Haag - Jong Utrecht	1:0 ✺
13.03.26	Emmen - ADO Den Haag	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Almere City - ADO Den Haag	1:0 ✺
27.02.26	ADO Den Haag - VVV-Venlo	1:0 ✺
24.02.26	Willem II - ADO Den Haag	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
25.11.25	ADO Den Haag - De Graafschap	3:2
03.02.25	De Graafschap - ADO Den Haag	1:2
25.10.24	ADO Den Haag - De Graafschap	1:2
18.05.24	ADO Den Haag - De Graafschap	2:2
14.05.24	De Graafschap - ADO Den Haag	2:3
12.01.24	ADO Den Haag - De Graafschap	5:3
11.08.23	De Graafschap - ADO Den Haag	0:0

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