The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Groningen 44.8%
Draw 29.6%
Willem II 25.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
26.2%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
25.6%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
31.6%
63.2%
5.3%
Groningen - Willem II Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Groningen will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Willem II will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.5% โ 84.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vaessen E. (G) 7. Bacuna L. (C) 5. Rente M. 43. Peersman M. 3. Blokzijl T. 10. Valente L. 6. Resink S. 8. Hove J. 14. Schreuders J. 25. Oosting T. 26. van Bergen T.
1. Didillon T. (G) 25. Tirpan M. 30. Behounek R. 33. St. Jago T. 22. Nizet R. 11. Kehrer E. 34. Lachkar A. 8. Bosch J. (C) 16. Meerveld R. 14. Sandra C. 9. Vaesen K.
Substitutes
24. Baron D. (G) 67. Bouland S. 11. Emeran N. 21. Jurjus H. (G) 36. Mariani M. 27. Mendes R. 4. Pelupessy J. 29. Postema R. 46. van der Werff D. 9. Willumsson B.
18. Bokila J. 7. Doodeman N. 17. Joosten P. 6. Lambert B. 48. Mathijsen J. 15. Pivas M. 35. Razak K. 4. Schouten E. 41. Schut M. (G) 5. Sigurgeirsson R. 51. van Aalst U. 24. van den Berg C. (G)
Coaches
Lukkien D.
Maes P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Oosting T. ⚽, Valente L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', van Bergen T. 🟨,
59', 2 - 0, Resink S. ⚽, Peersman M. (A),
63', Lachkar A. ↓, Lambert B. ↑,
63', Kehrer E. ↓, Joosten P. ↑,
63', Vaesen K. ↓, Bokila J. ↑,
66', van Bergen T. ↓, Postema R. ↑,
74', Valente L. ↓, Pelupessy J. ↑,
74', Nizet R. ↓, Sigurgeirsson R. ↑,
86', Meerveld R. ↓, Razak K. ↑,
90+1', Oosting T. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 10).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Groningen won 2.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Recently Groningen have a series of guest games.
Groningen will have a mini benefit in this match.
There are questionable in Groningen: Turay F.
(Injury)
de Jonge T.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Willem II: Mathieu D.
(Knock)
Razak K.
(Injury)
van Berkel N.
(Knee Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Groningen won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 28:20 (average 1.4:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Groningen won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:4 (average 0.9:0.4).