Match Info

Date: 23 August 2021, Monday


	Grorud		Jerv

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.2
	2.75	3.5	2.25
	2.85	3.8	2.18	Watch
	2.9	3.45	2.2
	3.03	3.75	2.29
	2.9	3.4	2.2
	2.96	3.64	2.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (2.92)	3.59 ↓ (3.74)	2.22 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grorud
32%

Draw
26%

Jerv
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

24.9%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

18.5%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grorud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Jerv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grorud than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grorud that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jerv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Grorud - Jerv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Play Offs)).

Grorud is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Jerv is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Jerv have a series of guest games.

Jerv will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Grorud won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Grorud won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grorud IL
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.08.21	Åsane - Grorud	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.08.21	Kjelsås - Grorud	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.07.21	Grorud - Ullensaker Kisa	0:2 ✺
17.07.21	Sogndal - Grorud	1:0 ✺
12.07.21	Grorud - Aalesunds	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- FK Jerv
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.08.21	Jerv - Hamarkameratene	0:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.08.21	Flekkerøy - Jerv	3:2 penalties ✺
25.07.21	Donn - Jerv	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.07.21	Ranheim - Jerv	3:4 ✺
17.07.21	Aalesunds - Jerv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.12.20	Jerv - Grorud	2:0
27.07.20	Grorud - Jerv	0:3

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