Match Info

Date: 17 February 2021, Wednesday


	Grosseto		Alessandria

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.1	1.9
	3.4	3.2	2
	3.5	3.1	2
	3.55	3.2	1.93
	3.89	3.41	2.02
	3.5	3.25	2.05
	3.6	3.38	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (3.07)	3.23 ↑ (3.13)	1.98 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grosseto
25.1%

Draw
28.4%

Alessandria
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

29.2%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

20%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grosseto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alessandria's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grosseto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-18.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alessandria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Grosseto - Alessandria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Alessandria will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Grosseto won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie C Group A
13.02.21	Pro Vercelli - Grosseto	3:0 ✺
07.02.21	Grosseto - Pergolettese	2:2 ✺
03.02.21	Grosseto - Lucchese	2:1 ✺
31.01.21	Renate - Grosseto	2:1 ✺
24.01.21	Grosseto - Piacenza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWLW
- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
13.02.21	Alessandria - Giana Erminio	0:0 ✺
07.02.21	Novara - Alessandria	2:1 ✺
03.02.21	Alessandria - Lecco	0:0 ✺
30.01.21	Olbia - Alessandria	1:2 ✺
24.01.21	Alessandria - Pistoiese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
21.10.20	Alessandria - Grosseto	0:1

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