Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 5

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Carlo Zecchini (Grosseto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Grosseto		Campobasso

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.60	3.10	2.40
	2.65	3.15	2.45	Watch
	2.87	3.26	2.56
	2.71	3.27	2.42	Watch
	2.8	3	2.5
	2.67	3.08	2.36	Watch
	2.65	3.15	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.68)	3.14 ↑ (2.92)	2.45 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grosseto
33.7%

Draw
29%

Campobasso
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

30.8%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

31.5%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grosseto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Campobasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Grosseto - Campobasso Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Grosseto will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Campobasso will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Marcu A. (G) 91. Pitti E. 27. Brenna D. (C) 23. Ampollini F. 47. Mannelli M. 8. Damiani M. 29. Andreoli L. 11. Fiorini P. 5. Sabattini L. 70. Fabri F. 39. Tosi L.	1. Spurio A. (G) 18. Pierno R. 4. Celesia C. 95. Corbo G. 30. Coccia L. 23. Pellitteri A. 5. Gargiulo M. 28. Maisto F. 10. Stoppa M. 14. Bifulco A. (C) 70. Leonardi S.
Substitutes
24. Alfani L. 75. Brancato A. 1. Cabella M. (G) 32. Ciraudo A. 99. Della Mora T. 25. Fantacci T. 16. Fiorani M. 28. Gaddini M. 17. Gallucci R. 21. Gonnelli L. 77. Lorenzelli E. 18. Lorenzini J. 10. Mastroianni F. 12. Menicucci D. (G) 19. Montini A.	34. Agazzi D. 22. Apsits R. (G) 77. Aragona C. 19. Blasi L. 33. Capoferri M. 11. Carfora L. 27. Cristallo C. 8. Di Vico R. 21. Fogliata R. 92. Galeandro A. 7. Isaac Prado 99. Muzi C. (G)
Coaches
Indiani P.	Mangia D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Damiani M. ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Tosi L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Maisto F. ↓, Fogliata R. ↑,
46', Leonardi S. ↓, Isaac Prado ↑,
46', Pierno R. ↓, Cristallo C. ↑,
46', Andreoli L. 🟨,
50', Damiani M. 🟨,
57', Celesia C. 🟨,
62', Fabri F. ↓, Fantacci T. ↑,
66', Gargiulo M. ↓, Carfora L. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Corbo G. ⚽,
73', Andreoli L. ↓, Fiorani M. ↑,
73', Tosi L. ↓, Mastroianni F. ↑,
79', Bifulco A. ↓, Galeandro A. ↑,
83', Spurio A. 🟥,
85', Cristallo C. ↓, Muzi C. ↑,
90+1', Pitti E. ↓, Montini A. ↑,
90+2', Sabattini L. ↓, Gaddini M. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Stoppa M. ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Campobasso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Grosseto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Grosseto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Grosseto	8	4	3	1	14:7	7	15
8	Campobasso	8	3	3	2	12:11	1	12

Last Results with these Odds

Campobasso - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 35.8%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie C Group B
12.09.26	Pianese - Grosseto	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
09.09.26	Grosseto - Latina	1:4 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
06.09.26	Grosseto - Sassari Torres	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Ostia Mare - Grosseto	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.08.26	Grosseto - Guidonia Montecelio	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLWWL
- Campobasso
Italian Serie C Group B
12.09.26	Vado - Campobasso	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Campobasso - Gubbio	2:4 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
01.09.26	Campobasso - Scafatese	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
29.08.26	Spezia - Campobasso	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Campobasso - Pianese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
21.08.21	Grosseto - Campobasso	2:1

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