The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Grêmio 59.3%
Draw 24.4%
Estudiantes La Plata 16.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
19.8%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.8%
18.6%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grêmio's performance.
Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estudiantes La Plata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-16.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grêmio that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+21.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estudiantes La Plata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
12.5%
0%
Grêmio - Estudiantes La Plata Predictions
Users Predictions:
Grêmio will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marchesin A. (G) 18. Joao Pedro 5. Rodrigo Ely 4. Walter Kannemann 6. Reinaldo 17. Dodi 23. Pepe 21. Pavon C. 10. Cristaldo F. 7. Soteldo Y. 19. Costa D.
12. Mansilla M. (G) 14. Mancuso E. 6. Fernandez F. 2. Romero Z. 13. Benedetti G. 8. Zuqui F. 10. Piatti P. 19. Manyoma A. 22. Perez E. 18. Cetre E. 27. Correa J.
Substitutes
31. Caique (G) 8. Carballo F. 37. Du Queiroz 13. Everton Galdino 2. Fabio 53. Gustavo Martins 39. Gustavo Nunes 11. Joao Pedro 26. Mayk 36. Nata 14. Nathan 32. Nathan Fernandes
29. Atum A. 28. Benedetti N. 30. Borzone R. (G) 3. Fernandez N. 4. Flores S. 24. Kociubinski B. 26. Lollo L. 16. Mendez M. 23. Naya E. 7. Sosa J. 15. Zapiola F. 25. Zozaya J. (G)
Coaches
Renato Gaucho
Dominguez E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Correa J. 🟨,
15', Rodrigo Ely 🟨,
23', Benedetti G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Cristaldo F. ⚽, Costa D. (A),
55', Costa D. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
55', Pavon C. ↓, Gustavo Nunes ↑,
66', Benedetti G. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
66', Manyoma A. ↓, Sosa J. ↑,
70', Cetre E. 🟨,
77', Correa J. ↓, Mendez M. ↑,
77', Piatti P. ↓, Zapiola F. ↑,
78', Cristaldo F. ↓, Nathan Fernandes ↑,
78', Soteldo Y. ↓, Carballo F. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Mendez M. ⚽, Sosa J. (A),
84', Joao Pedro 🟨,
84', Zuqui F. 🟨,
85', Pepe ↓, Everton Galdino ↑,
86', Walter Kannemann 🟨,
Preview
Grêmio is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Grêmio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Grêmio is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Grêmio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
Portugal
Watch
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Marchesin A. (G) 
Joao Pedro 
Soteldo Y. 
Costa D. 
Manyoma A. 
Carballo F. 
Joao Pedro 
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