Match Info

Date: 29 September 2020, Tuesday


	Grêmio		Universidad Católica

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.5	5	Watch
	1.65	3.75	5
	1.62	3.9	5	Watch
	1.68	3.55	4.9
	1.74	3.75	5.16
	1.7	3.5	5.25
	1.68	3.78	5.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.49)	3.68 ↓ (4)	5.05 ↓ (5.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio
56%

Draw
25.4%

Universidad Católica
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

23%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

13.5%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio's form might have worsened.

Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grêmio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad Católica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Grêmio - Universidad Católica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Grêmio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Universidad Católica is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Universidad Católica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Grêmio is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Grêmio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie A
26.09.20	Atlético Mineiro - Grêmio	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.09.20	Internacional RS - Grêmio	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
20.09.20	Grêmio - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.09.20	Universidad Católica - Grêmio	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
13.09.20	Grêmio - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTLT
- Universidad Católica
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
27.09.20	Delfín - Universidad Católica	0:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
26.09.20	Everton - Universidad Católica	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.09.20	América de Cali - Universidad Católica	1:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
20.09.20	Universidad Católica - Técnico Universitario	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.09.20	Universidad Católica - Grêmio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
16.09.20	Universidad Católica - Grêmio	2:0
08.05.19	Grêmio - Universidad Católica	2:0
04.04.19	Universidad Católica - Grêmio	1:0

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