Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA - ROUND 6

Date: 7 February 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi (Sao Paulo)

Referee: dos Santos F. (Bra)


	Grêmio Novorizontino		Red Bull Bragantino

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.25
	3.1	3.3	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.24
	3.28	3.08	2.34
	2.9	3.2	2.15
	3.15	3.18	2.24	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.6)	3.18 (3.18)	2.24 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Novorizontino
29.5%

Draw
29.2%

Red Bull Bragantino
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

29%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

30.1%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Red Bull Bragantino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Grêmio Novorizontino - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 1 - 20%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Jordi (G) 25. Luisao 33. Renato (C) 44. Chico 97. Willean Lepo 8. Willian Farias 5. Geovane 28. Marlon 14. Danilo Barcelos 91. Jenison 100. Romulo	1. Cleiton (G) 45. Nathan Mendes 4. Lucas Cunha 3. Leo Ortiz (C) 31. Guilherme Lopes 8. Lucas Evangelista 5. Jadsom Silva 23. Raul 11. Helinho 18. Borbas T. 28. Vitinho
Substitutes
1. Airton (G) 27. Cafe L. 26. Dantas 29. Isack Gabriel 12. Lucas Pereira (G) 11. Lucca 9. Neto Pessoa 3. Rafael Donato 22. Raul Prata 16. Reverson 7. Rodolfo 30. Waguininho	34. Andres Hurtado 39. Douglas Mendes 19. Eduardo Sasha 22. Gustavinho 29. Juninho Capixaba 12. Klemann R. 33. Laquintana I. 40. Lucao (G) 2. Realpe L. 21. Talisson
Coaches
Eduardo Baptista	Caixinha P.

Preview

Novorizontino is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches RB Bragantino is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

RB Bragantino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

RB Bragantino will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Novorizontino won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Novorizontino won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
04.02.24	Corinthians - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:3 ✺
01.02.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ituano	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Mirassol - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
25.01.24	Santo André - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWTTT
- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
04.02.24	Santo André - Red Bull Bragantino	1:2 ✺
31.01.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
24.01.24	Portuguesa - Red Bull Bragantino	1:2 ✺
20.01.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Água Santa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
20.02.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Red Bull Bragantino	0:3
30.01.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - Red Bull Bragantino	0:0
22.02.19	Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1
25.02.18	Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1

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