Match Info

Date: 29 June 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Abatti Abel R. (Bra)


	Grêmio Novorizontino		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	2.7	2.8
	2.8	2.85	2.55
	2.75	2.7	2.8
	2.93	2.87	2.92
	2.7	2.75	2.88
	2.76	2.96	2.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (3.11)	2.81 ↓ (2.9)	2.79 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Novorizontino
33.5%

Draw
33.2%

Vasco da Gama
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

32.1%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

32.9%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17%	55.3%	27.7%

Grêmio Novorizontino - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 8 - 17%). Vasco will win (votes: 13 - 27.7%). It will Tie (votes: 26 - 55.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.1% – 69.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Novorizontino is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vasco is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
25.06.22	Bahia - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
18.06.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Tombense	1:3 ✺
12.06.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Guarani	1:2 ✺
07.06.22	Grêmio - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:0 ✺
04.06.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLLLT
- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie B
24.06.22	Vasco da Gama - Operário Ferroviario	3:0 ✺
18.06.22	Londrina - Vasco da Gama	0:1 ✺
12.06.22	Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro	1:0 ✺
07.06.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Vasco da Gama	2:3 ✺
02.06.22	Vasco da Gama - Grêmio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWWT

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