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Current Win Probability
Vasco da Gama 48%
Draw 27.5%
Cruzeiro 24.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.8%
28.8%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.3%
28.4%
35%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama's performance.
Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruzeiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vasco da Gama that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruzeiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
57.1%
0%
Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Vasco (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.25 - Cruzeiro (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Vasco (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Leo Jardim (G) 96. Paulo Henrique 46. Cuesta C. 43. Lucas Freitas 6. Lucas Piton 5. Sosa S. 28. Adson 3. Tche Tche 23. Thiago Mendes (C) 11. Gomez A. 9. Colidio F.
81. Otavio Costa (G) 12. William Furtado (C) 43. Joao Marcelo 34. Jonathan Jesus 27. Rojas G. 5. Ze Lucas 7. Matheus Henrique 67. Costa J. 97. Rodriguez L. 70. Kenji 22. Villarreal N.
Substitutes
80. Andre B. 88. Cauan Barros 13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 7. David 18. Hinestroza M. 17. Moreira N. 83. Ramon Rique 82. Riquelme Avellar 2. Rodriguez J. 4. Saldivia A. 77. Spinelli C.
1. Cassio (G) 23. Fagner 38. Felipe Morais 19. Kaio Jorge 2. Kaua Moraes 16. Lucas Silva 11. Marquinhos 10. Matheus Pereira 29. Romero L. 25. Villalba L. 94. Wanderson 20. Wesley
Coaches
Emanuel P.
Artur Jorge
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Joao Marcelo 🟨,
27', Adson 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Tche Tche ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 2 - 0, Lucas Freitas ⚽, Lucas Piton (A),
62', Rodriguez L. ↓, Matheus Pereira ↑,
62', Costa J. ↓, Wesley ↑,
70', Adson ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
79', Sosa S. ↓, Cauan Barros ↑,
79', Colidio F. ↓, David ↑,
79', Kenji ↓, Felipe Morais ↑,
79', Ze Lucas ↓, Lucas Silva ↑,
85', Gomez A. ↓, Hinestroza M. ↑,
85', Tche Tche ↓, Ramon Rique ↑,
85', Villarreal N. ↓, Wanderson ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, David ⚽, Ramon Rique (A),
90+4', Lucas Freitas 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 1, Felipe Morais ⚽, Matheus Pereira (A),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Cruzeiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Vasco could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Vasco: Brenner
(Injury)
Jair
(Injury)
Mateus Carvalho
(Knee Injury)
Robert Renan
(Yellow Cards)
Rojas J.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fabricio Bruno
(Yellow Cards)
Gabriel Pec
(Broken Leg)
Sinisterra L.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:25. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).
Argentina
Austria
Brazil
Colombia
Ecuador
Germany
North-central-america
Paraguay
Portugal
Russia
Turkey
Uruguay
Usa
Watch
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Leo Jardim (G) 
Cuesta C. 
Sosa S. 
Costa J. 
Rodriguez L. 
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