Match Info

Copa Pacena - Round 1

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Gilberto Parada (Montero)


	Guabirá		Universitario de Vinto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	3.90	4.80
	1.44	4.10	5.30	Watch
	1.54	4.25	5.91
	1.54	4.28	5.41	Watch
	1.50	3.45	5.85
	1.51	4.30	5.66	Watch
	1.48	4.30	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.56)	4.08 ↑ (3.94)	5.45 ↑ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guabirá
60.8%

Draw
22.4%

Universitario de Vinto
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

22.9%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

20.9%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Universitario de Vinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Guabirá - Universitario de Vinto Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Guabirá will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Uni de Vinto will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferrel M. (G) 97. Gil S. 2. Barro J. 21. Portillo M. 19. Flores J. 8. Moreno A. 6. Anez C. (C) 7. Peredo G. 40. Lujan P. 28. Baigorria Y. 99. Pedro	1. Poveda B. (G) 21. Cuellar G. 5. Alcocer P. 34. Jara A. (C) 28. Jose Pinto 22. Calicho J. 6. Gomez M. 50. Vargas D. 70. Lazarte J. 90. Saavedra D. 79. Blanco O.
Substitutes
91. Abrego V. 18. Aguilera M. 13. Arauz J. (G) 27. Corrales R. 35. Da Silva D. 33. Fernandez D. 11. Garzon S. 29. Masskooni N. 16. Pablo Melgar 14. Parada J. 22. Tellez M. 88. Ursino L.	27. Calderon B. 8. Camacho Almanza D. A. 12. Careaga J. (G) 30. Cuadiay Fernandez M. 76. Esdras Mendoza 26. Mendoza S. 29. Saucedo J. 19. Veizaga J.
Coaches
Eguez L.	Flores W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Pedro ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Anez C. (Own goal),
32', Moreno A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 1, Pedro ⚽,
60', Blanco O. ↓, Camacho Almanza D. A. ↑,
69', Camacho Almanza D. A. 🟨,
69', Peredo G. ↓, Abrego V. ↑,
70', Moreno A. ↓, Parada J. ↑,
76', Jose Pinto ↓, Mendoza S. ↑,
78', Lujan P. ↓, Da Silva D. ↑,
78', Pedro ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
83', Saavedra D. ↓, Postigo P. ↑,
83', Calicho J. ↓, Veizaga J. ↑,
86', Anez C. ↓, Ursino L. ↑,
90+3', Baigorria Y. 🟨,
90+4', Veizaga J. 🟨,
90+4', Ferrel M. 🟨,
90+9', Camacho Almanza D. A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 3.

Guabirá has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Uni de Vinto is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Guabirá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Guabirá is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Guabirá will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Guabirá won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:4. (average 2.3:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guabirá
Bolivian Division Profesional
15.08.26	Guabirá - The Strongest	3:1 ✺
07.08.26	ABB - Guabirá	0:1 ✺
04.08.26	Guabirá - Real Tomayapo	3:0 ✺
31.07.26	Universitario de Vinto - Guabirá	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Guabirá - Real Oruro	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWTW
- Universitario de Vinto
Bolivian Division Profesional
14.08.26	Universitario de Vinto - Real Tomayapo	0:1 ✺
06.08.26	Universitario de Vinto - Real Potosí	0:2 ✺
31.07.26	Universitario de Vinto - Guabirá	1:1 ✺
27.07.26	GVCD San José - Universitario de Vinto	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Always Ready - Universitario de Vinto	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
31.07.26	Universitario de Vinto - Guabirá	1:1
Club Friendly
20.02.26	Guabirá - Universitario de Vinto	2:1
Bolivian Division Profesional
03.08.25	Guabirá - Universitario de Vinto	3:0
Bolivian Copa Pacena
26.07.25	Universitario de Vinto - Guabirá	2:2
30.04.25	Guabirá - Universitario de Vinto	2:0
Bolivian Division Profesional
28.03.25	Universitario de Vinto - Guabirá	4:2
29.11.24	Universitario de Vinto - Guabirá	1:0

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