Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 11

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Gilberto Parada (Montero)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Guabirá		Real Oruro

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.5	4.75	Watch
	1.50	4.50	4.40
	1.48	4.85	4.85	Watch
	1.48	4.96	5.14
	1.46	5.2	5.3	Watch
	1.44	4.65	5
	1.42	4.85	5.3	Watch
	1.47	4.7	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.79)	4.78 ↑ (3.95)	4.94 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guabirá
62.3%

Draw
19.2%

Real Oruro
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

22.9%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guabirá's performance.

Real Oruro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Oruro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Guabirá - Real Oruro Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Guabirá will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Arauz J. (G) 16. Pablo Melgar 6. Anez C. (C) 21. Portillo M. 29. Masskooni N. 7. Peredo G. 88. Ursino L. 77. Thiago Ribeiro 15. Rafinha 11. Garzon S. 91. Abrego V.	1. Arancibia A. (G) 33. Gatti F. 23. Villegas Y. 15. Castellon D. 31. Balceras Cuellar R. J. 26. Tifner H. 21. Huayhuata I. 65. Bravo Adan A. F. (C) 55. Garcia S. 19. Vallejos Y. 50. Montenegro J.
Substitutes
18. Aguilera M. 28. Baigorria Y. 2. Barro J. 27. Corrales R. 33. Fernandez D. 1. Ferrel M. (G) 19. Flores J. 97. Gil S. 8. Moreno A. 14. Parada J. 99. Pedro 22. Tellez M.	48. Berrios J. 18. Calle Y. 5. Corulo L. 32. Mendez R. 13. Pena I. (G) 10. Quinonez A. 6. Rivera A. 40. Vargas F. 37. Velez J.
Coaches
Eguez L.	Colinas N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Anez C. ⚽, Rafinha (A),
6', 1 - 1, Montenegro J. ⚽,
19', Tifner H. 🟨,
23', Castellon D. 🟨,
39', 2 - 1, Ursino L. ⚽, Peredo G. (A),
43', 3 - 1, Garzon S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Castellon D. ↓, Corulo L. ↑,
46', Bravo Adan A. F. ↓, Quinonez A. ↑,
51', Thiago Ribeiro 🟨,
56', Ursino L. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
56', Garzon S. ↓, Pedro ↑,
63', 4 - 1, Moreno A. ⚽, Rafinha (A),
67', Peredo G. ↓, Flores J. ↑,
68', Abrego V. ↓, Tellez M. ↑,
68', Tifner H. ↓, Rivera A. ↑,
75', Corulo L. 🟨,
75', Huayhuata I. ↓, Mendez R. ↑,
75', Garcia S. ↓, Vargas F. ↑,
81', Rafinha ↓, Barro J. ↑,
83', Masskooni N. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 7).

Guabirá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Guabirá is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 4.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Guabirá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Guabira	20	8	5	7	32:39	-7	29
11	Real Oruro	20	6	3	11	32:50	-18	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guabirá
Bolivian Division Profesional
17.07.26	Bolívar - Guabirá	4:0 ✺
29.05.26	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Guabirá	1:2 ✺
17.05.26	Guabirá - Nacional Potosí	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Oriente Petrolero - Guabirá	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Guabirá - GVCD San José	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWWTW
- CDT Real Oruro
Bolivian Division Profesional
20.07.26	Nacional Potosí - Real Oruro	1:4 ✺
14.07.26	Real Oruro - Always Ready	0:6 ✺
11.07.26	Real Oruro - GVCD San José	3:1 ✺
08.07.26	Real Oruro - Universitario de Vinto	4:1 ✺
12.05.26	Aurora - Real Oruro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
25.09.25	Real Oruro - Guabirá	3:6
10.05.25	Guabirá - Real Oruro	3:1

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