Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 3

Date: 14 April 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte (Potosí)

Referee: Garcia C. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal


	Nacional Potosí		Guabirá

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.75	11	Watch
	1.28	5	8
	1.23	6.2	10	Watch
	1.23	5.81	12.03	Watch
	1.3	4.8	9
	1.25	5.72	11	Watch
	1.23	6.2	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.34)	5.64 ↑ (4.89)	10.15 ↑ (7.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nacional Potosí
74.3%

Draw
16.5%

Guabirá
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

19%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.4%

18%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Guabirá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Nacional Potosí - Guabirá Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Nacional Potosí (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nacional Potosí will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Nacional Potosí (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Galindo P. (G) 8. Pavia L. 15. Arce Pari J. 26. Echeverria S. 7. Torres S. 11. Rojas J. 18. Azogue P. 28. Palacio D. 16. Torrico A. 19. Abrego V. 33. Demiquel L.	12. Ferrel M. (G) 30. Gatti F. 32. Olguin G. 21. Portillo M. 4. Vaca G. 5. Moreno A. 6. Anez C. 77. Thiago Ribeiro 19. Paiva S. 28. Baigorria Y. 10. Sanchez H.
Substitutes
3. Acuna M. 29. Alvarez W. 21. Baldomar O. 24. Diellos D. 27. Garcia A. 14. Guerra J. 17. Guerra S. 22. Hoyos D. 1. Mustafa S. (G) 20. Prost M. 6. Restrepo E.	8. Arano C. P. 17. Barco C. 22. Casavieja L. 37. Chavez T. 13. Coronado Corcuy R. D. (G) 29. Masskooni N. 16. Montero R. 14. Parada J. 7. Peredo G. 9. Veloso F. 27. Villarroel M.
Coaches
Vigevani C.	Carlen R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Echeverria S. 🟨,
28', Thiago Ribeiro 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Azogue P. ↓, Alvarez W. ↑,
46', Rojas J. ↓, Guerra S. ↑,
46', Palacio D. ↓, Prost M. ↑,
46', Torres S. ↓, Baldomar O. ↑,
54', Moreno A. ↓, Arano C. P. ↑,
55', Paiva S. ↓, Casavieja L. ↑,
55', Baigorria Y. ↓, Chavez T. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Anez C. (Own goal),
67', Portillo M. 🟨,
70', Gatti F. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
78', Thiago Ribeiro ↓, Barco C. ↑,
81', Abrego V. ↓, Hoyos D. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Prost M. ⚽, Alvarez W. (A),
88', 3 - 0, Prost M. ⚽, Guerra S. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional Potosí won 3.

Nacional Potosí is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Guabirá is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guabirá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nacional Potosí is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Nacional Potosí won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 39:29 (average 2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional Potosí won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 28:8 (average 2.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Potosí
Copa Sudamericana
10.04.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Potosí	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
06.04.25	The Strongest - Nacional Potosí	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
01.04.25	Nacional Potosí - Independiente	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
28.03.25	Nacional Potosí - Always Ready	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.25	Nacional Potosí - Real Tomayapo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLT
- Guabirá
Bolivian Division Profesional
04.04.25	Guabirá - Aurora	5:2 ✺
28.03.25	Universitario de Vinto - Guabirá	4:2 ✺
Bolivian Torneo Amistoso de Verano
01.03.25	Always Ready - Guabirá	5:0 ✺
26.02.25	Guabirá - Always Ready	1:3 ✺
23.02.25	Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
24.10.24	Nacional Potosí - Guabirá	3:0
26.05.24	Guabirá - Nacional Potosí	1:1
25.11.23	Guabirá - Nacional Potosí	6:1
28.05.23	Nacional Potosí - Guabirá	6:0
04.10.22	Nacional Potosí - Guabirá	3:1
23.07.22	Guabirá - Nacional Potosí	2:1
29.04.22	Guabirá - Nacional Potosí	1:2

Upcoming Matches