Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 23

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte (Potosí) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Rodriguez D. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bolivia	18:00	Entel Gol 56


	Nacional Potosí		Guabirá

	1	X	2
	1.19	5.75	9.50	Watch
	1.24	6.00	7.50
	1.32	4.95	7	Watch
	1.3	4.75	6.82
	1.37	5	7.3	Watch
	1.27	4.5	6.65
	1.34	4.75	6.69	Watch
	1.33	5	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.45)	5.09 ↑ (4.1)	7.28 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nacional Potosí
69.8%

Draw
17.8%

Guabirá
12.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.1%

21.6%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

21.2%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Potosí's performance.

Guabirá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional Potosí that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guabirá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nacional Potosí - Guabirá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Galindo P. (G) 34. Medina K. 5. Alvarez S. 25. Orellana J. 16. Torrico A. 10. Nunez M. 21. Baldomar O. 18. Azogue P. (C) 28. Pena S. 19. Alvarez W. 11. Tomianovic M.	13. Arauz J. (G) 16. Pablo Melgar 97. Gil S. 2. Barro J. 19. Flores J. 14. Parada J. 8. Moreno A. 35. Da Silva D. 15. Rafinha (C) 7. Peredo G. 11. Garzon S.
Substitutes
27. Abastoflor C. 1. Arauz E. (G) 15. Arce Pari J. 2. Avila R. 20. Cano E. 22. Hoyos D. 14. Juan Batista 30. Martinez Y. 8. Pavia L. 7. Solis M. 9. Tobar T. 99. Villalba D.	91. Abrego V. 9. Alarcon F. 28. Baigorria Y. 37. Chavez T. 25. Coronado Corcuy R. D. (G) 27. Corrales R. 33. Fernandez D. 40. Lujan P. 17. Maciel M. 42. Rios O. 22. Tellez M.
Coaches
Gutierrez D.	Eguez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Peredo G. 🟨,
35', Peredo G. ↓, Abrego V. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Pena S. ↓, Abastoflor C. ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Tomianovic M. ⚽, Torrico A. (A),
61', Alvarez W. ↓, Tobar T. ↑,
63', Garzon S. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
64', Da Silva D. ↓, Corrales R. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Abastoflor C. ⚽, Medina K. (A),
71', Flores J. 🟨,
72', Parada J. 🟨,
75', Azogue P. ↓, Pavia L. ↑,
76', Nunez M. ↓, Juan Batista ↑,
77', Flores J. ↓, Tellez M. ↑,
77', Parada J. ↓, Maciel M. ↑,
79', Baldomar O. 🟨,
81', Alvarez S. 🟨,
88', Tomianovic M. ↓, Solis M. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 0, Tobar T. ⚽, Torrico A. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 10th and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional Potosí won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Guabirá could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, Nacional Potosí enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Nacional Potosí has recorded 10 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 38:28 (averaging 1.9:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nacional Potosí against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 28:6 goals (averaging 2.8:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Nacional Potosi	23	9	4	10	35:31	4	31
8	Guabira	23	8	6	9	34:47	-13	30

Last Results with these Odds

Guabirá - the odds 5.1 are the expected chance of winning is 17.36%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Copa Pacena
21.10.26	Oriente Petrolero - Nacional Potosí	3:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
18.10.26	Nacional Potosí - Bolívar	0:1 ✺
11.10.26	Aurora - Nacional Potosí	2:2 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
03.10.26	Nacional Potosí - Real Oruro	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Real Tomayapo - Nacional Potosí	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLTWT
- Guabirá
Bolivian Division Profesional
18.10.26	Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero	1:1 ✺
12.10.26	GVCD San José - Guabirá	4:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
07.10.26	Guabirá - The Strongest	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero	2:1 ✺
29.09.26	Universitario de Vinto - Guabirá	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
17.05.26	Guabirá - Nacional Potosí	2:1
23.08.25	Guabirá - Nacional Potosí	1:0
14.04.25	Nacional Potosí - Guabirá	3:0
24.10.24	Nacional Potosí - Guabirá	3:0
26.05.24	Guabirá - Nacional Potosí	1:1
25.11.23	Guabirá - Nacional Potosí	6:1
28.05.23	Nacional Potosí - Guabirá	6:0

Upcoming Matches