Match Info

Copa Costa Rica - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday


	Carmelita		Deportivo Saprissa

	1	X	2
	9.5	4.5	1.27
	8.6	4.95	1.26	Watch
	8.86	5	1.29
	9.09	4.96	1.29	Watch
	9	4.5	1.29
	10	4.75	1.3	Watch
	9	5	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.15 ↑ (8.54)	4.81 ↑ (4.16)	1.28 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carmelita
10%

Draw
19%

Deportivo Saprissa
71.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.6%

21.7%

67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.3%

21%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carmelita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Deportivo Saprissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Saprissa than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Carmelita - Deportivo Saprissa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tenorio J. (G) 5. Arias M. 17. Arroyo D. 19. Camacho L. 8. Garro J. (C) 2. Gonzalez S. 7. Hidalgo P. 14. Mena Y. 15. Quesada I. 11. Rodriguez F. 4. Solera A.	13. Alfaro I. (G) 22. Azofeifa Rivas J. M. 12. Blanco R. 10. Brenes J. 50. Elizondo M. 41. Espinoza D. 11. Loria M. 14. Rodriguez A. 28. Torres G. 39. Villalobos A. 46. Woodly D.
Substitutes
21. Alfaro C. 12. Alfaro J. 30. Cerdas O. 18. Cheves B. 9. Duarte D. 10. Forbes J. 33. Mendez O. (G) 6. Nieto J. 31. Perez J. 16. Prieto J.	25. Acuna S. 30. Alvarez M. (G) 3. Arboine P. 27. Chirino R. 38. Gonzalez K. . Hidalgo J. P. . Mena M. 24. Sinclair O. 17. Taylor Dosman G. G. . Valenciano S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
23', 0 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
30', 0 - 2, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, Rodriguez F. ⚽,
44', 1 - 3, Brenes J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 2 - 3, Solera A. ⚽,
80', 2 - 4, Valenciano S. ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 0-6. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carmelita won 0.

Carmelita is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Saprissa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Carmelita may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Saprissa is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carmelita won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 15:57. (average 0.8:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Carmelita won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1.1:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportiva Carmelita
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
07.02.26	Carmelita - Uruguay de Coronado	0:1 ✺
Costa Rican Copa
05.02.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Carmelita	6:0 ✺
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
02.02.26	Pitbulls - Carmelita	0:0 ✺
23.01.26	Carmelita - Cariari Pococí	1:1 ✺
19.01.26	Escorpiones de Belén - Carmelita	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTTL
- Deportivo Saprissa
Costa Rican Primera Division
08.02.26	Deportivo Saprissa - San Carlos	2:1 ✺
Costa Rican Copa
05.02.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Carmelita	6:0 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
29.01.26	Pérez Zeledón - Deportivo Saprissa	3:3 ✺
25.01.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Cartagines	0:0 ✺
22.01.26	Sporting San José - Deportivo Saprissa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Copa
05.02.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Carmelita	6:0
Costa Rican Primera Division
03.03.19	Carmelita - Deportivo Saprissa	0:1
17.01.19	Deportivo Saprissa - Carmelita	4:1
11.11.18	Deportivo Saprissa - Carmelita	3:0
16.09.18	Carmelita - Deportivo Saprissa	2:2
11.03.18	Carmelita - Deportivo Saprissa	1:1
17.01.18	Deportivo Saprissa - Carmelita	3:1

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