The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guadalupe 45.4%
Draw 25.8%
Escorpiones de Belén 28.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.2%
24.6%
37.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.3%
24.7%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guadalupe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guadalupe's performance.
Escorpiones de Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Escorpiones de Belén might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guadalupe than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guadalupe that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escorpiones de Belén than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Escorpiones de Belén could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Guadalupe - Escorpiones de Belén Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Guadalupe will win (votes: 6 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Montiel R. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Clunie G. ⚽,
33', 2 - 1, Clunie G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 3 - 1, Carvajal K. ⚽,
90', 3 - 2, Montero J. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Guadalupe won 2.
Guadalupe is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Escorpiones in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Guadalupe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Guadalupe have a series of guest games.
Guadalupe will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Guadalupe won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:17 (average 1.4:2.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Guadalupe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.7:2.3).