Match Info

COSTA RICA: Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday


	Limon Black Star		Guadalupe

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.2	2.29
	2.95	3.13	2.46	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.3
	2.83	3.5	2.32
	2.85	3.2	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.3)	3.27 ↓ (3.7)	2.33 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Limon Black Star
32.4%

Draw
28.2%

Guadalupe
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

24.5%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

24.8%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Limon Black Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Limon Black Star's form might have worsened.

Guadalupe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Limon Black Star than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Limon Black Star, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guadalupe than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Limon Black Star - Guadalupe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Corrales B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Limon Black Star won 2.

Limon Black Star is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guadalupe is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Guadalupe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Limon Black Star won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 0.7:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Limon Black Star won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Limon Black Star
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
16.03.25	Cariari Pococí - Limon Black Star	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Limon Black Star - Santa Cruz PFA	2:1 ✺
06.03.25	Escorpiones de Belén - Limon Black Star	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Desamparados - Limon Black Star	1:0 ✺
26.02.25	Limon Black Star - Turrialba	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLLT
- Guadalupe FC
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
20.03.25	Guadalupe - Cariari Pococí	0:0 ✺
17.03.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Guadalupe	0:1 ✺
10.03.25	Guadalupe - Escorpiones de Belén	3:2 ✺
05.03.25	Desamparados - Guadalupe	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Aserrí - Guadalupe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
05.10.24	Guadalupe - Limon Black Star	1:2
25.08.24	Limon Black Star - Guadalupe	0:0
20.03.24	Guadalupe - Limon Black Star	0:1
07.02.24	Limon Black Star - Guadalupe	1:2
15.10.23	Limon Black Star - Guadalupe	0:2
23.08.23	Guadalupe - Limon Black Star	1:1

Limon Black Star - Guadalupe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide