Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 30

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Parque del Guairá (Villarrica) 🌤️ ...


	Guaireña		Sportivo Carapeguá

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.35
	2.38	3.40	2.40
	2.60	3.49	2.29
	2.54	3.64	2.49	Watch
	2.55	3.40	2.20
	2.87	3.59	2.21	Watch
	2.55	3.40	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (3)	3.45 ↓ (3.72)	2.33 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaireña
35%

Draw
26.2%

Sportivo Carapeguá
38.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.8%

24.8%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

24.5%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaireña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Sportivo Carapeguá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Carapeguá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportivo Carapeguá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guaireña - Sportivo Carapeguá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 14th and 8th).

Recent results have been tough for Guaireña (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Carapeguá has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Carapeguá holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Guaireña has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:6 (averaging 1.7:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Guaireña against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Sp. Carapegua	30	12	7	11	37:43	-6	43
14	Guairena	30	7	8	15	23:38	-15	29

Last Results with these Odds

Guaireña - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.77%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaireña FC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
19.10.26	12 de Junio - Guaireña	2:0 ✺
10.10.26	Guaireña - Encarnación	1:0 ✺
06.10.26	Deportivo Santaní - Guaireña	1:0 ✺
28.09.26	Guaireña - Fernando de la Mora	0:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
24.09.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Guaireña	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL
- Sportivo Carapeguá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
16.10.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Resistencia	1:2 ✺
09.10.26	Sol de América - Sportivo Carapeguá	2:4 ✺
02.10.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Deportivo Capiatá	1:1 ✺
25.09.26	Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Tacuary	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
18.07.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Guaireña	2:1
17.08.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Guaireña	3:3
08.05.25	Guaireña - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:1

Guaireña - Sportivo Carapeguá