Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 9 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Rogelio Livieres (Asunción)

Referee: Gonzalez F. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Guaraní Asuncion		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.87	3.1	2.5
	2.9	3.2	2.48
	2.89	3.25	2.56
	2.8	3	2.45
	2.88	3.24	2.49	Watch
	2.95	3.25	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3.55)	3.18 ↓ (3.62)	2.49 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
32.7%

Draw
29.6%

Botafogo RJ
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

25.8%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

25.3%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guaraní Asuncion's performance.

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo RJ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guaraní Asuncion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

Guaraní Asuncion - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Munoz R. (C) 2. Raul Caceres 3. Moya J. 40. Riveros P. 24. Salomoni F. 8. Moreira E. 5. Gil Romero G. 20. Rios R. D. 7. Camacho N. 9. Santander F. 28. Benitez B.	1. Gatito Fernandez (G) 57. JP Galvao 34. Adryelson 94. Philipe Sampaio 21. Marcal (C) 6. Tche Tche 5. Danilo 54. Hernandez D. 18. Lucas Fernandes 20. Segovia M. 37. Junior Santos
Substitutes
26. Amarilla R. 31. Barcelo F. 4. Benitez M. 17. Fernandez B. 21. Gallardo D. 36. Martinez L. 37. Perez D. 12. Rodriguez M. (G) 27. Roman Torales F. J. 25. Sanchez A. (G) 22. Sarquis E. 15. Servin T.	27. Carlos Alberto 33. Carlos Eduardo 24. Di Placido L. 10. Gustavo Sauer 16. Hugo 39. Janderson 12. Lucas Perri (G) 11. Luis Henrique 17. Marlon Freitas 75. Rai 15. Victor Cuesta 7. Victor Sa
Coaches
Pumpido J. P.	Lage B.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Guaraní is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Botafogo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Botafogo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
06.08.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	5:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.08.23	Botafogo RJ - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
28.07.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
21.07.23	Tacuary - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
16.07.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTWL
- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
06.08.23	Cruzeiro - Botafogo RJ	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.08.23	Botafogo RJ - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
30.07.23	Botafogo RJ - Coritiba	4:1 ✺
23.07.23	Santos - Botafogo RJ	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.07.23	Botafogo RJ - Patronato Parana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
02.08.23	Botafogo RJ - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1

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